In this scenario of economic crisis, falling tax revenues and the need to finance recovery programs, in Guatemala and Costa Rica it is already proposed to increase current taxes and create new ones.
Guatemalan authorities are already beginning to discuss the fiscal policy they will apply in 2021, when the economy will have to face the effects of the economic crisis generated by the covid-19 outbreak.
Although poor social indicators and a low tax burden are a threat to the country's progress, for Fitch the Guatemalan economy has the capacity to overcome external adversities.
After the last visit of Fitch Ratings to Guatemala, representatives of the rating agency expressed the opinion that health, education and security indicators, together with the tax situation, are issues that should concern the country.
"Public debt in terms of simple average for the Central American region will continue growing, reaching 43.1% of GDP in 2018, after having registered 42.5% in 2017."
The Central American Institute of Fiscal Studies (Icefi) estimates that for the current year the size of public expenditure of the Central Government in relation to the respective Gross Domestic Product of each country will be 21.4% in Costa Rica, 20.4% in El Salvador, 20% in Honduras, 18.4% in Nicaragua, 17.6% in Panama and 12.1% in Guatemala.
In one of the regions that receives the least amount of taxes in the world, the tax burden remained relatively stable in 2017.
From the section Fiscal Outlook for Central America, from the report "Macro-fiscal Profiles: 9th edition", by the Central American Institute of Fiscal Studies (Icefi):
Calendar of payments of obligations corresponding to December 2017 and Tax Memorandum on the minimum wages in effect as of January of this year.
From a Memorandum sent by Tezó and Associates:
On December 29, 2017, the Ministry of Labor and Social Welfare published Government Agreement No. 297-2017 in the Diario de Centro América, whereby the new minimum wages for agricultural, non-agricultural and export and maquila activities are established, effective as of January 1, 2018.
On average, companies in the region pay 45.8% tax on profits, while companies in OECD countries pay 41%.
From the study Evolution of the fiscal situation in Central America, by the Federation of Chambers of Commerce of the Central American Isthmus (FECAMCO):
FECAMCO has carried out a study with the objective of showing the fiscal situation in Central American countries and raising awareness in governments about the efficient use of taxes that are collected from the payment of citizens to guarantee solvency of the states.
The tax burden grew from 13.4% in 2013 to 14% in 2016, both due to the delayed effect of the tax reforms in Honduras and Nicaragua, as well as better management on the part of tax entities in Guatemala and Panama.
From the Regional Economic Report (IER) 2016-2017: Opportunities and challenges for Central America, by the SIECA:
According to the ICEFI, "tax incentive policies seem to be a lost opportunity because of permanent tax expenses and the lack of tangible social benefits."
From a statement issued by the ICEFI:
Within the framework of the international meeting on Tax Justice and Transnational Fraud, held in Costa Rica, a study was presented on October 20 entitled 'The effectiveness of taxincentives for investment in Central America' in which an analysis was undertaken of the Central American experience in investment attraction through tax incentives.
Reviewing the regulation on banking secrecy and replacing the board of the SAT with a new Administrative Tax and Customs Tribunal are part of the proposals to improve tax administration in the country.
From a statement issued by the Central Institute for Fiscal Studies (Icefi):
Guatemala.- During the session of the Committee on Public Finance and Currency of the Congress, on February 19, the Icefi participated in a specific working session to discuss amendments to the Organic Law of the Superintendency of Tax Administration (SAT ), during which the final version of the Diagnostic was released and a roadmap proposed for effective tax administration.
In the opinion of the Central American Institute of Fiscal Studies, the only way to consolidate public finances in a sustainable way is to reduce tax breaks and increase tax collections.
From a statement issued by the Central Institute for Fiscal Studies (Icefi):
The argument is that the tax on cement will increase the cost of housing by at least 6% and the tax on phones will directly affect users of prepaid telephone lines.
From a statement issued by the Chamber of Industry of Guatemala:
The average tax burden for the region is 13.4% of GDP, while the average public expenditure increased from 18.7% in 2013 to 19.2% at the end of 2014.
From the Introduction of the report Macrofiscal profiles in Central America, from Instituto Centroamericano de Estudios Fiscales (Icefi):
The fiscal situation has worsened in Central America in recent months, mainly due to a structural lack of sufficient resources to meet the needs of Central Americans and realize many of the commitments made by governments.
The president of the Bank of Guatemala has stated that in order to sustain the fiscal debt, the tax burden in the Guatemalan economy will have to rise from 11% today to 14%.
An article on Lahora.com.gt reports that, Edgar Barquín president of the Bank of Guatemala, said "... in order to maintain economic stability and ensure social spending for the benefit of the population, the level of taxes needs to rise to 14 percent of GDP this year. According to the official, rating agencies consistently report that one of the weaknesses in Guatemala, in financial terms, is the low level of taxes."
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