After the IMAE in Guatemala registered a -11% year-on-year variation in May of this year, during June and July the production contractions were lower, reporting falls of 7% and 5%, in that order.
The Bank of Guatemala reported that in the current economic crisis that emerged due to the spread of covid-19, the activities that have most boosted the drop in production are trade, tourism and transportation.
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Transport, storage and communications, and private services, explained part of the 3% year-on-year increase reported in the Gross Domestic Product during the first three months of the year.
The growth of the Transportation, storage and communications activity, was mainly associated to the increase of the telecommunications activity, derived from the increase of broadband accesses and the greater number of mobile phone subscribers, congruent with the registered by the telephony companies, informed the Banco de Guatemala.
Guatemalan producers estimate that for the 2018-2019 harvest production will reach 752,575 metric tons of sugar, a volume that would be slightly higher than that recorded in the 2017-2018 cycle.
The Asociación de Azucareros de Guatemala (Asazgua) projects a slightly higher growth than the previous year because of climate factors, which will be confirmed when they have the final figures for closing production.
Guatemala and El Salvador are the Central American economies that have registered the lowest levels of economic growth, when this is associated with the size of their public sector.
Panama, Nicaragua, Honduras and Costa Rica are the countries that would be obtaining exceptional results in their economic growth from the average expenditure of the region during 2011 to 2018, which could be associated with the investment made in past periods, informed the Central American Institute of Fiscal Studies (Icefi).
In Izabal, Guatemala, 178 circular floating cages of 250 square meters each are expected to be built, which will be used to raise fish known as tilapias.
Mir-Yam Proyects, S.A. presented the Environmental Impact Study (EIA) to develop the project dedicated to aquaculture production, which will be located in the municipality of Estor, in Lake Izabal.
The fall in international grain prices in recent years has increasingly affected producers in the region, who at current prices do not even reach the production costs.
Since years ago, international sugar prices have reported a clear downward trend, and in the last twelve months the quintal price registered a fall of 23%.
In the first days of January last year, the international price of sugar was above $15 per quintal, and that value has been decreasing in recent months, falling to $12 per quintal at the beginning of this year, according to Investing.com.
Because of the increase in energy demand, last year in Guatemala the Electricity Supply and Water Collection sector was the sector that explained the largest increase in the GDP calculation.
Notwithstanding the conflict that has affected the development of several hydroelectric projects, the electricity supply and water collection sector has reported year-on-year increases of more than 4.5% for the 2010-2018 period.
Because of the coffee production performance, during the second quarter of the year the Guatemalan agricultural GDP grew 4% compared to the same period in 2017.
From the statement of the Chamber of Agriculture of Guatemala:
Guatemala, November 8th, 2018. According to information from the data analysis consultant on economic, financial and socio-political issues, Central American Business Intelligence -CABI-, the GDP of the Agro Sector increased during the second quarter of this year by 3.9% year-on-year, the largest increase the sector has had in the last four years.
In Guatemala, for the 2018-2019 harvest, the production of green coffee is projected to reach 4.5 million quintals, which would exceed the 4.4 million quintals reported in the previous season.
According to Ricardo Arenas, president of the National Coffee Association (Anacafe), "... The 2018-2019 coffee harvest, which started last month, will stand at 4.5 million quintals of green coffee; of that figure, it is estimated that 3.5 million will be exported."
Coffee growers in Guatemala estimate that production in the agricultural cycle that is about to end will totol 4.3 million hundredweight, above the 4.2 million hundredweight reported in the 2016-2017 harvest.
Forecasts by the National Coffee Association (Anacafé) indicate that for the upcoming 2018-2019 harvest, production could be located at 4.5 million gold hundredweight (46 kilos sacks), which would mean a continuation of the recovery phase.
After an 11% reduction in the output between 2015 and 2016, last year production totaled 9,641 million barrels, 7% more than the figures in 2016.
Due to the age of the wells operated by the company Perenco, according to figures from the Ministry of Energy and Mines, the national production of crude oil between 2010 and 2017 "...
Global coffee output for 2017/18 is preliminary estimated at 158.78 million bags, 0.7% higher than last year.
Total production of Arabica is estimated to decrease by 1.1% to 97.32 million bags compared to 98.42 million bags last year, as lower production of Colombian Milds and Brazilian Naturals are only partially offset by increases in Other Milds.
Businessmen in the sector assert that the country reports one of the lowest levels of cement consumption in the Latin American region.
The current level of cement production in Guatemala reflects the low levels of public investment in recent years in the country. Lack of investment by the State in roads and other public infrastructure works is compounded by instability generated by foreign investment in the legal conflicts that have arisen in recent years, such as closure of mining projects and political and economic problems related to corruption."..."Conflict is an additional factor that slows development and investment, and therefore the consumption of cement," said Oscar Sequeira, coordinator of the Statistics Commission of the Guatemalan Chamber of Construction. "
The 2016/17 harvest closed with a total export amount of 29,700 tons, equivalent to $300 million in revenues, 30% more than in the previous season.
In the harvest that just ended, the improved revenue was achieved with a lower export volume, due to an increase in the international price.In the 2016/17 season, 38 thousand tons were exported and $230 million were generated.
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