During February 2021, economic activity fell 4.7% in year-on-year terms, a drop that evidences that the economic crisis caused by the covid-19 outbreak continues to affect Costa Rica.
According to the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR), as per the cycle trend series of the Monthly Index of Economic Activity (IMAE), the inter-annual variation of production reached its lowest point in June 2020, at which point it began a gradual recovery process.
For the mobile quarter from December 2020 to February 2021, the unemployment rate in the country decreased to 18.5%, a proportion that is slightly lower than the 19% reported for the period from November to January last year.
In this quarter, the unemployed population was 452 thousand people, an increase of 142 thousand people compared to the same mobile quarter of the previous year, informed the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC).
During January of this year, production in Costa Rica decreased 4.8% in year-on-year terms, a decline that is explained by the economic crisis resulting from the pandemic caused by the outbreak of covid-19.
In January 2021, the production of manufacturing and computer services grew 1.9% and 0.7%, respectively, in year-on-year terms. In contrast, the rest of the economic activities showed drops in their level of activity in relation to January 2020, states a report by the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR).
Twelve months after Central America began a health and economic crisis triggered by the covid-19 outbreak, Guatemala was the fastest recovering economy and Panamanian economic activity is the slowest to return to pre-pandemic levels.
In March 2020, the first cases of covid-19 began to be detected in the countries of the region. The highly contagious disease, which at that time had already claimed the lives of thousands of people around the world, forced Central American governments to establish mobility restrictions.
In December 2020, the Monthly Index of Economic Activity reported a year-on-year variation of -5.1%, a drop that is explained by the restrictions imposed due to the covid-19 outbreak.
Since the calculation of the Monthly Index of Economic Activity (IMAE) series began in 1991, the average annual gross production, measured by the IMAE, has only fallen on two occasions, specifically in 2009 and 2020. Both cases coincide with world crises, but the impact has been much more severe for Costa Rica in the case of 2020, according to an official report.
Strengthening trade between the US and the region, fighting corruption in the Northern Triangle and reducing illegal migration flows, are some of the axes on which Joe Biden, the US president who has been sworn in, is expected to focus.
Biden, representative of the Democratic Party and winner of the last US elections, whose results were close, arrives at the White House to replace Donald Trump.
Because of the fall in economic activity and the restrictions imposed to contain the spread of covid-19, businessmen in Costa Rica and Panama predict that the process of economic recovery will not be completed in the near future.
In this crisis scenario generated by the covid-19 outbreak, the Costa Rican economy does not show clear signs of recovery, since during November 2020 the Monthly Index of Economic Activity reported a year-on-year fall of 6.2%, a decline similar to that reported in October, when it was 6.3%.
At the end of 2020, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador remained at the bottom of the Human Development Index ranking, while Costa Rica and Panama were better evaluated.
The report entitled The Next Frontier, Human Development and the Anthropocene, which was published on December 15, 2020 at the global level, updates the Human Development Index (HDI) that is calculated by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP).
Although the end of the year holidays is a threat to Central America for a second wave of covid-19 infections, it is expected that total closures will not be decreed since there are currently effective health control options, and less costly for the economy.
When the first cases of covid-19 were reported in the region in March 2020, most governments decided to paralyze a large part of productive activities and decree home quarantines. These actions focused on containing the advance of the virus caused a severe economic crisis in all countries.
After the IMAE reported year-on-year variations of -9% and -8%, respectively, in July and August, during September the Costa Rican economy continued to recover from the impact of the health crisis by reporting a 6% drop in production.
The Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) reported that the economy is in the process of recovery, as a result of the process of reopening and gradual lifting of sanitary restrictions, which were imposed following the outbreak of covid-19. However, the upturn so far is not enough to fully recover the loss in production of the previous quarter, so the level of activity is still lower than in the last quarter of 2019.
The Costa Rican government is facing a complex scenario, since by not achieving consensus to access international loans, it will be forced to seek domestic funding sources, which would put pressure on the exchange rate and interest rates to rise.
The next U.S. president is not yet known, but in the region it is expected that in an eventual new Trump administration, the focus will be on the recovery of the U.S. economy, while an eventual Biden administration would focus on countering corruption and illegal migration.
Two days after Election Day took place, the United States is experiencing an atmosphere of tension and uncertainty, since because the results are closed, neither candidate can yet be declared the winner.
As of June, Central American economies began to show signs of incipient recovery and as of August, Guatemala, Nicaragua and Costa Rica registered the smallest drops in their levels of economic activity.
Since March of this year, the region has faced a severe economic crisis generated by the outbreak of covid-19.
In the context of the crisis generated by the outbreak of covid-19 and after reporting a -9% year-on-year variation in July, in August the IMAE registered a smaller reduction by contracting 8% compared to the same month in 2019.
The fall in the volume of production is greater in the activities of hotels and restaurants (59.3%), transport and storage (27.4%) and trade (15.5%), all of which is closely related to the greater incidence in these sectors of national and international restrictions on the movement of people and goods, reported the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR).
Verifying the new levels of demand, offering only basic products or services, and delaying investments as much as possible to recover cash flow, are some of the strategies that businesses plan to implement to face the new commercial reality.
Because of the covid-19 outbreak in Central America, governments decreed strict home quarantines and restricted most economic activities and the movement of consumers.
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