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Because of the economic crisis, Foreign Direct Investment flows have practically vanished, and in order to attract the few investments that are projected for next year, countries are expected to compete by offering incentives and aid programs for businesses.
The covid-19 outbreak dissipated the investment intentions of companies globally. At the beginning of the fourth quarter of the year, there are signs that business confidence has begun to recover; however, pessimism among investors is expected to continue next year.
In the context of the tense diplomatic and commercial relationship between the two world powers, Central American countries could have the opportunity to attract new investments, as it is estimated that some American companies would need to migrate their operations to the American continent.
As a result of the tension between the two nations, Mauricio Claver-Carone, an advisor to President Trump, believes that U.S.
Panama and Honduras were the only two Central American countries to report increases in foreign direct investment in 2018 over the previous year, with year-on-year changes of 36% and 3%, respectively.
The growth of investments directed to Panama, which concentrated 51% of the sub-regional total, explained the increase that was reached in 2018 in Central America (9.4%), since except Panama and Honduras, the Central American countries received less Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than in 2017, explains the report "Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2019", produced by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC).
Although the goal for this year was to issue $100 million in debt bonds, during the first quarter the Nicaraguan government only awarded $1.1 million, doubting the level of investor confidence.
According to the "Public Debt Report, First Quarter 2019", prepared by the Central Bank of Nicaragua, from January to March regarding Investment Securities in dollars, 1.03 million was issued at an average rate of 5.31% and an average term of 7 months.
The latest risk ratings for the issuance of long-term debt of Central American economies identify Panama as the most attractive country to invest in.
On March 8, Moody's decided to raise its long-term issuer rating in foreign currency from Baa2 to Baa1, arguing that the outlook remains more favorable in the medium term.
Adverse court decisions against companies, social and political conflicts and fiscal issues are some of the factors that are impeding the development of productive projects in Central American countries.
One of the latest court decisions affecting companies with investments in the region was that of Minera Petaquilla, in Panama. The contract that this company had signed with the Panamanian State was declared unconstitutional last week.
One of the decisions taken by Guatemalan businessmen with interests in Nicaragua is to suspend new investments until the situation in the country is normalized.
Due to the social and political situation that the country has been experiencing for more than three months, Guatemalan investors that operate companies in Nicaragua have been analyzing the situation closely, and are already taking measures to minimize the impact of the crisis on businesses. One of the decisions that some companies have taken is to reduce the cost of the operation to the lowest possible level, in order to maintain or reduce product inventories.
A delegation of companies from the Mexican state of Jalisco has expressed interest in investing in sectors such as textiles, agriculture, services and construction.
After the visit to Honduras, the businessmen reported that in the next few years they intend to invest between $20 million and $100 million.
Miguel Landero, president of the Mexican Council of Foreign Trade, explained to Laprensa.hn that "... there is a lot of interest in investing in the country ...'In direct foreign investment we could be talking about an intention of $20 million to $100 million, just to start with'."
The Hernández administration is looking for companies interested in modernizing and expanding the Henecán port terminal in San Lorenzo, Valle department.
Representatives from the government met with the Ecuadorian company Yilport, who may be interested in the project.The aim of the Honduran authorities is to improve the infrastructure of the most important portfor the country on the Pacific coast.
The bureaucratic procedures and permits required by the Cuban government and some restrictions on the establishment of companies could represent obstacles for foreign businessmen interested in investing on the island.
Although in Cuba there exists sectors such as telecommunications and construction, which have high growth potential due to a backlog in investment, those who are knowledgeable about the real situation in Cuban say that it will be difficult to take advantage of these opportunities, at least for now.That is the perception of the former ambassador of Costa Rica in Cuba, Rodrigo Carreras, who in an interview with the newspaper Nacion.com, detailed the conditions of the economy of the island and the difficulties that could be faced by entrepreneurs interested in doing business there.
Until December 7 a group of businessmen and investors will be in the country to meet with local businesses and explore business opportunities.
The trade mission was organized by the government of Honduras, after having participated last month on a tour of the Asian country to promote the arrival of more Taiwanese investment in the country.
Small investors have bought $15 million in shares ranging from $1,000 to $20,000, from a trust that will finance a wind project in Uruguay. Another $62 million will be offered to institutional investors.
EDITORIAL
The offer received in the Uruguayan Securities Exchange from small investors reached $100 million, a clear sign of the high interest in the prospective investment which has a mitigated risk as it is a project by a strong state run enterprise, with a return almost assured, estimated at about 11.5% a year, in the 20 years which is the term of the share certificate.
On November 4th, Guatemala City will host a regional summit on energy investments in Central America.
From A statement issued by the Government of Guatemala:
The minister Erick Archila has announced that Guatemala will host a summit on energy investment in the countries of the Mesoamerican region which will take place on November 4, convened by the Ministry of Energy and Mines (MEM).
Foreign investors continue to pour into the region in search of business opportunities in sectors traditionally handled by Central Americans.
Coffee producers of Dutch or Korean-American nationality were among the winners of the contest of fine coffees "The Best of Panama 2014", which involved 84 lots of fine, and traditional coffee.
"Heakyung Burneskis Kang, a Korean-American citizen, was one of the winners of the night, achieving first place in the categories of traditional natural coffees and traditional washed coffees".