In the view of Moody's, Fitch and S & P, the latest projections of public debt and fiscal deficit by the Central Bank of Costa Rica, further worsen the outlook for the debt rating.
Last week the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) released a report in which it explained that for this year it is expected that the public debt with respect to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will reach 53.8%, and by 2019 this indicator will reach 58.4%.
S & P has improved Panama's outlook from stable to positive, re-affirming its BBB risk rating based on factors such as "high and consistent economic growth and a stable fiscal policy".
The rating granted by Standard & Poor's recognized "... the progress made by Panama in recent years for the automatic exchange of tax information with 33 countries and changes in legal regulations to improve transparency in the financial system."
One day after reducing the debt rating to Selective Default, Standard & Poors has now raised it to CCC, after the government completed debt restructuring.
S & P Global Ratings (formerly Standard and Poor's) yesterday upgraded El Salvador's sovereign risk rating to "CCC +" after declaring the country in default because it considered the restructuring of the pension debt to be a de facto operation. See: "El Salvador in selective default".
More expensive external credit, deterioration of the country's image, and higher local interest rates are just some of the consequences that could result from the non-payment of $55 million to pension funds.
The decision taken by the Sánchez Cerén administration not to pay interest to pension funds on the grounds of lack of support from the opposition political party has caused not only a down grading of the debt rating by agencies such as Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor's, but has also led the business sector to raise its voice about the seriousness of the situation and to warn about possible consequences on economic activity.
Standard & Poor's cites persistent difficulties in approving a fiscal reform in the short term, given the political fragmentation that exists in the Legislature.
Analyst Joydeep Mukherji said "... two previous governments have tried to make a fiscal reform and failed and that the government of Luis Guillermo Solis has had difficultyconvincing the Legislative Assembly ...".
Confirmation of the decline in the financial capacity of the construction company has strengthened arguments by those calling for the revision of their contracts and that the firm not be awarded others.
The sovereign rating B + with stable outlook is based on the "economic performance, low debt burden of the government, political stability and partnership between government and the private sector through dialogue".
"... The political scene continues to block structural reforms that would create a platform for more private investment and higher economic growth."
From a statement issued by the Presidency of El Salvador:
The rating agency Standard & Poor's has raised its growth forecasts for El Salvador to 2.6% for the period 2016-2018 in its latest analysis of the Salvadoran economy, in which it also reaffirmed the strength in the country's debt payment allowing it to maintain a stable rating of B + B.
The ratings agencies Standard & Poor's and Moody's have left the sovereign debt rating of Honduras unchanged.
The rating agencies Standard & Poor's and Moody's have not changed the ratings of the sovereign debt of Honduras leaving it at Stable Negative B and B2 respectively, as reported for December 2013 by both agencies and published by the Central American Monetary Council (CMC).
Standard & Poor's has downgraded the sovereign rating of Honduras to "B" from "B +" with a stable outlook because of its diminished fiscal flexibility and increased debt burden.
The risk rating agency has reaffirmed the country's long term rating, keeping it at BBB with a stable outlook.
From a statement by S & P:
Summary
The expectations of strong growth in Panama, its increasing diversification and stable macroeconomic environment counteract its small open economy which is vulnerable to fluctuations in global economic conditions; other positive factors are their growing local capitals market and its improving political institutions.
"Weak public institutions in Guatemala and a polarized political environment continue to limit its credit quality" - Standard & Poor's
An article in elperiodico.com.gt reports that "The three most important credit rating agencies internationally: Moody's, Standard & Poors and Fitch Ratings, have pointed to deficient management in Guatemala's social indicators."
Standard & Poor's placed has set El Salvador’s risk rating as ‘negative outlook’, indicating deterioration in the investment climate and growth of the fiscal deficit.
Last Friday Standard & Poor's Ratings (S & P) cut its forecast for El Salvador, arguing that the climate of increasing political polarization is weighing on investment and economic growth.
The promotion to "BB" rating with a stable outlook is based on better GDP growth and tax revenues.
From the press release:
Summary
We expect that the government of Guatemala will reduce fiscal deficits averaging 2.5% of GDP over the next three years, compared with previous estimates of over 3% of GDP.
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