Standard and Poor's announced that it downgraded Costa Rican bonds from BB- to B+, adding to Moody's downgrade in early December.
Standard and Poor's (S&P) reported that the decision was made because the country's fiscal situation could generate a continuous increase in the general government's net debt burden.
The rating agency reduced the long-term and senior unsecured bond issuer ratings of the Costa Rican government from Ba2 to Ba1 and changed the outlook to negative.
According to Moody's, among the main factors behind the decline is the continued and projected worsening of debt metrics in the back of large deficits despite fiscal consolidation efforts.
After Costa Rica's Constitutional Chamber prepared the path for tax reform in the Congress, the dollar's price against the local currency stopped rising, and positive reactions were reported in the risk outlook.
Last November 23rd, Court IV issued its judgment, so the law project has a free way to move forward more quickly during the coming weeks in the Congress.
Fitch Ratings reported that the country is under observation and for now maintains the rating at BB, awaiting what happens with the fiscal reform and the payment of government debt at the end of the year.
Fitch Ratings, a U.S. risk rating agency, reported on November 15th that Costa Rica would be close to a sovereign rating downgrade because of the country's public finances situation.
The decline in tax collection, the government's short-term commitments and the possibility of a reduction in the credit rating are factors that worsen Costa Rica's fiscal situation.
According to figures from the Finance Ministry, during the first nine months of this year the tax collection of the Costa Rican government had a slight increase of 1% over the same period last year. This increase is far from the interannual increases reported in the same period in recent years.
Moody's downgraded the long-term issuer ratings and the Costa Rican government's unsecured bonds.
Yesterday the risk rating agency reported that expectations of a continued decline in fiscal indicators and evidence of increased financing needs are some of the reasons behind the decision to revise the country's debt rating.
Rocio Aguilar, Finance Minister, explained to Crhoy.com that Moody's warning is "...
The business sector welcomes the progress achieved with the tax reform approval in the first debate, but notes that it does not fully solve the financial problems facing the government.
In the debate last Friday, the representatives approved the file number 20.580, known as the tax reform law. The approval was optimistically received by the Costa Rican Union of Chambers and Associations of Private Business Sector (Uccaep). However, they affirm that several adjustments should be made to public spending to achieve long-term solutions.
The Central Bank explained that the short-term loan of almost $870 million to the Ministry of Finance will have no impact on inflation.
From a statement issued by the Central Bank of Costa Rica:
September 25, 2018.In accordance with what is authorized by Costa Rican legislation, the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) agreed, on Tuesday, September 25, 2018, to the acquisition of Treasury Notes, issuedby the Ministry of Finance, for an amount of ¢498,858.8 million.
The deterioration of public finances and the inability of the Alvarado administration to end the blockades set up by trade unionists are again drawing the attention of rating agencies and the international market, who foresee a complicated economic future for Costa Rica.
According to the risk rating agency Moody's, the demonstrations by public sector unions are increasingly complicating the path towards a much-needed reform of public finances, which would take its first steps with the approval of the bill that is being discussed in the Legislative Assembly.
Exporters resent the effects of five continuous days of demonstrations, blockades and widespread insecurity on the roads of Costa Rica.
Before the strike, which was started a few days ago by unions representing the country's public institutions, the Chamber of Exporters of Costa Rica (Cadexco) denounced the fact that companies in the sector are facing multiple difficulties in exporting their products.Puerto Moín, the main outlet for exports, is onlyoperating six hours a day, leaving close to 12,000 tons per day unable to be shipped, which is estimated to be equivalent to almost $10 million in daily sales abroad.
Like lemmings running towards a cliff, Costa Rica repeats the kind of actions that underscore the definition of a society incapable of stopping on the road to a terminal crisis.
In Costa Rica, the active participation of the government issuing debt in the local market and the uncertainty over fiscal reform are some of the reasons behind the sharp slowdown in growth of credit to the private sector.
Although awards of loans to the private sector are still growing, they is doing so at a slower pace.According to official figures between January and June of this year, the inter-annual growth rate of the total credit portfolio went from 9.25% to 3.08%, which is equivalent to a drop of six percentage points.
The high level of financing and the economic slowdown explain the increase in the fiscal deficit of the central government, which at the end of July reached 3.3% of GDP, the highest in the last six years.
The decrease in tax revenues, due to a slowdown in economic activity, added to the high level of government debt, explained the strong rebound in the fiscal deficit in the first half of the year.Of the total deficit, about two thirds correspond to interest.
The cost of not making decisions about the serious fiscal problem affecting Costa Rica "is incommensurable and has the potential to affect not only the economic but also the social and democratic order of the country."
This is the emphatic and clear position of the Comptroller General of the Republic of Costa Rica regarding the serious and risky situation in which the public finances of the country find themselves.Furthermore, as is well mentioned in the report "Fiscal and Budgetary Evolution I semester 2018", published recently by the institution, if decisions related to solving problems of short-term liquidity and modifying the structure of public expenditure to the medium and long term continue to be delayed, the cost to the country will be much more than just economic.
The IMF believes that the financial stability framework is not well prepared to handle a potential systemic financial crisis without seriously compromising fiscal resources.
In a review carried out late last year, the International Monetary Fund identified serious vulnerabilities in the pension sector, secondary markets and crisis management mechanisms and stated that they need to be taken care of immediately.
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