In November, a 3.2% year-on-year increase was reported in the Consumer Price Index, above the 2.5% recorded in October 2019.
The consumer price index (CPI) in November recorded a 0.37% variation with regard to October 2019. Accumulated inflation for the January-November 2019 period reached 3.45%, while annualized inflation, measured from November 2018 to November 2019, stood at 3.23%, informed the Central Bank of the Dominican Republic.
During November, the CPI registered a 2.9% variation with respect to the same month of 2018, an inflationary rhythm higher than the 4.2% rate reported in October.
The most important inflation levels in November 2019 are as follows: 0.44% monthly inflation, 2.92% inflation and 2.79% accumulated inflation, according to the National Statistics Institute (INE).
In October 2019, the Monthly Index of Economic Activity in the Dominican Republic reported a 5.2% year-on-year increase, explained by the construction and exploitation of mines and quarries.
The Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity (IMAE) shows for the second consecutive month a growth above the potential, recording a 5.2% year-on-year variation in October 2019 after having expanded by 5.1% in September, reported the Central Bank of the Dominican Republic (BCRD).
During November, the CPI in Honduras registered a 3.8% variation with respect to the same month in 2018, an inflationary rhythm lower than the 4.1% rate reported in October.
The monthly variation of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 0.30% in November 2019, lower than that recorded in the same month of 2018 and 2017 (0.53% and 0.49%, in order), the increase in the index reflects the rise in prices in some food products and fuels, reported the Central Bank of Honduras (BCH).
In Guatemala, 54% of businessmen believe that in 2020 the local economy will accelerate, 42% believe that stable growth will be reported and 4% believe that a slowdown could be reported.
According to the Third Business Perception Survey conducted by the Coordinating Committee of Agricultural, Commercial, Industrial and Financial Associations (Cacif), 67% of respondents expect greater growth of their companies and 56% expect more employment with the arrival of the new government.
In Costa Rica, the inflationary rhythm slowed for the fourth consecutive month, as in November the CPI reported a year-on-year variation of 1.86%, below the 2.07% reported in October.
During November, the goods and services that showed the greatest positive effect were: onion, gasoline and tourist packages.
From January to November 2019, family remittances sent to Guatemala totaled $9,567 million, 13% more than what was reported in the same period in 2018.
According to the most recent figures from the Bank of Guatemala, in November 2019 the country received $819 million in remittances, 8% more than the $757 million recorded in the same month in 2018.
Arguing that continuity in economic policies is expected after the change of administration in January 2020, Standard & Poor's maintained the country's credit risk rating at BB-.
From S&P report:
S&P Global Ratings confirmed its long-term sovereign credit ratings of "BB-" in long-term foreign currency and "BB" in Guatemala. The outlook for our long-term ratings remains stable. We also affirmed our short-term 'B' foreign and local currency ratings in Guatemala, the international agency reported.
The electoral triumph of Alejandro Giammattei and the appointments he is making in his cabinet to assume next January 14, are the main reasons that explain the upturn that has had business confidence since July.
In November of this year, the Index of Confidence in Economic Activity in Guatemala reported a 28% growth with respect to the same month in 2018, reinforcing the upward trend that has been registered since July 2019.
Businessmen forecast an inflationary rhythm of 3.34% and 3.54% for November and December 2019, respectively, as well as 3.69% for January 2020. As to December 2020 and 2021, the Panel foresees an inflationary rhythm of 3.98% and 4.27%, in that order, explains the report of the Banco de Guatemala.
Although between August and November 2019 the confidence index grew 13% in Costa Rica, consumers still have a significant degree of uncertainty.
El resultado muestra que, aunque la confianza se incrementó significativamente en los últimos tres meses, lo hizo en una magnitud moderada. Esto significa que, pese al aumento de la confianza, los consumidores todavía conservan un grado de incertidumbre importante.
In the first nine months of the year, the Volume Index of Economic Activity and the sales indicator of FUSADES reported positive variations, however, they are lower compared to what was recorded in the same period of 2018.
According to the "Economic Situation Report up to November 2019", prepared by the Salvadoran Foundation for Economic and Social Development (FUSADES), the Salvadoran economy has experienced a tendency to lose dynamism, in the second quarter of 2019, economic activity grew only 1.98%, which is lower than the 2.71% recorded a year ago.
With the aim of cushioning the fall in the price of the dollar, which between November 5 and 25 was reduced in ₡18,35, in just two days the Central Bank intervened buying more than $30 million.
Of the $41.5 million negotiated at Monex during the November 22 session, the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) purchased $36 million, and of the $30.7 million negotiated on November 25, the monetary authority acquired $27 million.
Fitch Ratings decided to keep the country's risk rating at B, but changed the outlook from negative to stable, arguing that there are some signs of stabilization of Central Bank reserves and commercial bank deposits.
The revision of the outlook reflects the stabilization of central bank reserves and commercial bank deposits, a significant fiscal adjustment and social security reform that have reduced domestic financing needs and a pronounced external rebalancing that has facilitated the external financing requirement, the rating agency reported.
After lowering the rate six times between January and October of this year, in its last review the Central Bank of Costa Rica decided to maintain it at 3.25%, because the inflationary rate registers a significant slowdown.
The last reduction made to the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) was at the end of October, when the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) reduced it from 3.75% to 3.25%, arguing that the reduction would support the incipient economic recovery process shown by production indicators.
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