After the multi-sector dialogue in Costa Rica was concluded, the main risk qualifiers agree that because the agreements signed to reduce the deficit are not enough, the government should execute its fiscal policies in a timely manner.
Although Costa Rica's fiscal situation was already precarious before the health and economic crisis that led to the covid-19 outbreak began, the scenario started to worsen since March of this year.
Although Costa Rica's fiscal reform has already been approved, the IMF proposes raising some taxes as part of an "additional adjustment" to reduce debt and ease financial pressure in the short term.
"... “We are negatively surprised by the simplistic position of the International Monetary Fund that in the absence of money, taxes should be raised, we consider those words unacceptable, because it has been demonstrated in this country that a large part of the deficit is because of the inefficient use of public funds and an issue of state efficiency that does not allow people to become businessmen," said UCCAEP President Gonzalo Delgado."
The financial deficit of the Central Government at the end of last year was equivalent to 6% of the Gross Domestic Product, 1.2% less than originally expected.
According to the authorities, the fiscal deficit as a proportion of GDP was lower than expected because of the measures taken in terms of collection, expenditure containment and efficiency, and the approval of the Law to Strengthen Public Finances.
Alvarado administration celebrates the approval of the tax reform in Costa Rica by announcing a series of initiatives that include, among other things, a public employment reform Project.
After a year of proceedings in Congress and after having been reviewed by a Constitutional Chamber, the country's Assembly finally approved file 20.580. By endorsing this project, the government intends to strengthen its public finances through changes made to the taxation system.
After Costa Rica's Constitutional Chamber prepared the path for tax reform in the Congress, the dollar's price against the local currency stopped rising, and positive reactions were reported in the risk outlook.
Last November 23rd, Court IV issued its judgment, so the law project has a free way to move forward more quickly during the coming weeks in the Congress.
After a long and tense wait, the Constitutional Chamber granted the approval for the Law to Strengthen Public Finances to be voted in Congress with a simple majority.
The Court's judgment prepares the way for the law to advance more quickly in the coming weeks in the Congress. Now legislators will be able to vote their approval in the second debate, ending a long period of uncertainty, which led to a significant depreciation of the Colon against the dollar, a rise in interest rates and a general concern about the economic future in the short term.
The business sector welcomes the progress achieved with the tax reform approval in the first debate, but notes that it does not fully solve the financial problems facing the government.
In the debate last Friday, the representatives approved the file number 20.580, known as the tax reform law. The approval was optimistically received by the Costa Rican Union of Chambers and Associations of Private Business Sector (Uccaep).
The Central Bank explained that the short-term loan of almost $870 million to the Ministry of Finance will have no impact on inflation.
From a statement issued by the Central Bank of Costa Rica:
September 25, 2018.In accordance with what is authorized by Costa Rican legislation, the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) agreed, on Tuesday, September 25, 2018, to the acquisition of Treasury Notes, issuedby the Ministry of Finance, for an amount of ¢498,858.8 million.
Leaving out VAT on private education and the basic basket, the substitute text of the bill to Strengthen Public Finances was approved in the legislative committee.
The controversial substitute text of the Bill Strengthening Public Finance that has already passed the first filter, and may now be analyzed by the Plenary of the Assembly, left out two of the taxes that the Alvarado administration intended to implement in its plan: VAT of 1% and 2% on products in the basic basket and 2% on private education services.
The high level of financing and the economic slowdown explain the increase in the fiscal deficit of the central government, which at the end of July reached 3.3% of GDP, the highest in the last six years.
The decrease in tax revenues, due to a slowdown in economic activity, added to the high level of government debt, explained the strong rebound in the fiscal deficit in the first half of the year.Of the total deficit, about two thirds correspond to interest.
The proposal to increase the tax on interest on financial investments in Costa Rica could eventually make credit more expensive for both the private sector and the government.
In the view of the National Securities Exchange (BNV) it is worrisome that initiatives such as an increase in tax on income from financial investments are being discussed without knowing in detail and clearly the impact that something like this could have on the stock market and the country's financial activities.
The cost of not making decisions about the serious fiscal problem affecting Costa Rica "is incommensurable and has the potential to affect not only the economic but also the social and democratic order of the country."
This is the emphatic and clear position of the Comptroller General of the Republic of Costa Rica regarding the serious and risky situation in which the public finances of the country find themselves.Furthermore, as is well mentioned in the report "Fiscal and Budgetary Evolution I semester 2018", published recently by the institution, if decisions related to solving problems of short-term liquidity and modifying the structure of public expenditure to the medium and long term continue to be delayed, the cost to the country will be much more than just economic.
Businessmen in Costa Rica recognize the importance of the fiscal reform needed by the country, but they are calling on the Alvarado administration to pay attention to equally complex problems, such as unemployment and high production costs.
The business sector has taken stock of the first 100 days of the government of Carlos Alvarado, and in a discussion outlined the urgent challenges facing the country, such as how to achieve economic reactivation, advancing a proposed teleworking law, promoting dual training and investing in improving road infrastructure.
Although insufficient, the package of government spending containment measures proposed by the Alvarado administration is a good first step on the way forward to resolving Costa Rica's delicate fiscal situation.
The Minister of Finance, Rocio Aguilar, presented before the Legislative Assembly a plan to contain government spending that includes, among other measures, decreeing "...
The Government and the private sector have started negotiations to create a proposal for fiscal reform, which could include, among other things, changes aimed at achieving the financial sustainability of the Social Security scheme.
Without revealing details of the first sessions, the Higher Council of Private Enterprise (Cosep) reported that the reform negotiated with the authorities is focused on preventing insolvency of the Nicaraguan Social Security Institute and guaranteeing the country's economic growth.