The rating agency kept the country's debt rating at B3, but decided to change the outlook from stable to positive, arguing that the government's liquidity risks have been substantially reduced.
The affirmation of El Salvador's B3 sovereign ratings reflects high public debt ratios and a growing interest burden, the rating agency said.
After the country issued $1.097 million in Eurobonds for a 30-year term, Moody's gave them a "B3" rating, while Fitch Ratings assigned them a "B".
Fitch Ratings has assigned a 'B-' rating to El Salvador's $1.097 million notes due January 2050. The notes have a coupon of 7.1246%, the agency said.
The Fitch statement dated July 31 adds that "... The proceeds from the issue will be used in accordance with local laws for general budgetary purposes, including the redemption of bonds maturing this year. The rating of the bonds is aligned with El Salvador's long-term foreign currency issuer default rating (IDR) of 'B-' with a stable outlook."
"The 'B-' rating reflects the recent history of local currency defaults, as well as the political uncertainties influencing congressional approval of key economic reform measures."
This is the second consecutive year that the agency decided not to change the country's rating, as Fitch Ratings reported a year ago that it had decided to maintain the rating of foreign currency debt at "B-", and on that occasion argued that political tensions made it difficult to reach agreements on government financing.
The rating agency decided to keep the debt rating at B3 with a stable outlook, arguing that the country's tax burden is high, but stable.
The last rating variation was made in February 2018, when it was reported that at that time the political agreement reached to approve the resources to pay pension funds and the reduction in liquidity risk based the decision of the rating agency to raise the score from Caa1 to B3.
The latest risk ratings for the issuance of long-term debt of Central American economies identify Panama as the most attractive country to invest in.
On March 8, Moody's decided to raise its long-term issuer rating in foreign currency from Baa2 to Baa1, arguing that the outlook remains more favorable in the medium term.
Standard & Poors raised the rating from CCC+/C to B-/B, with a stable outlook, arguing that in the next three years the fiscal deficit will be moderate, and its debt levels will remain unchanged.
From the Standard & Poors report:
RATINGS
Foreign Currency: B-/Stable/B
Local Currency: B-/Stable/B
For further details see Ratings List.
Fitch Ratings has kept the debt rating in foreign currency at "B-", arguing that political tension has been reduced following the pension reform approved in October last year and the budget passed in January of this year.
Fitch Ratings-New York-13 June 2018: Fitch Ratings has affirmed El Salvador's long-term, foreign-currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B-' with a Stable Outlook.
The key factor driving the rating upgrade is the significant reduction of the government liquidity risks, as political agreements have led to Congress´approval of long-term government financing and pension reform.
Risk rating firm Moody's announced on Friday, February 23 that El Salvador's debt was rated B3, which represents an improvement from the previous rating of Caa1.However, the country is still considered an issuer with risk of not fulfilling its obligations.
One day after reducing the debt rating to Selective Default, Standard & Poors has now raised it to CCC, after the government completed debt restructuring.
S & P Global Ratings (formerly Standard and Poor's) yesterday upgraded El Salvador's sovereign risk rating to "CCC +" after declaring the country in default because it considered the restructuring of the pension debt to be a de facto operation. See: "El Salvador in selective default".
Standard & Poor's has lowered its debt rating to SD after the Legislative Assembly approved a pension reform which includes a restructuring of government debt.
From a statement issued by Standard & Poor´s:
El Salvador's Congress approved amendments to the terms of its Certificates for Pension Investments (CIPs).
Based on our criteria, we consider this change in the original terms to be a default.
The ratings agency has reduced the rating for long-term sovereign debt from B + to B, arguing that political capacity to resolve the fiscal problem is shrinking.
From a press release by Standard & Poor´s:
Continued political stalemate in El Salvador has led to a deterioration of institutional and governance effectiveness, which has contributed to a weaker external profile, and a further erosion of the government's liquidity.
The government's inability to stop the growth of debt in the context of low economic growth and a high fiscal deficit is the reason for the reduction in the rating.
From a press release by Moodys:
New York, August 11, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has today downgraded El Salvador's issuer and debt ratings to B1 from Ba3 and placed the ratings on review for further downgrade.
Noting the political system's inability to agree on fiscal issues, Standard & Poor's has downgraded, from BB to BB-, the rating for the country's long-term debt, giving it a negative outlook.
Costa Rica Long-Term Ratings Lowered To 'BB-' On Continued Fiscal Deterioration; Outlook Is Negative
25 Feb 2016
Source: Standardandpoors.com
OVERVIEW
The combination of growing spending pressures and lack of tax reform has weakened Costa Rica's public finances and raised its vulnerability to
Moody's has changed the outlook of the sovereign debt rating from stable to negative, noting the limited ability of the government to control the increased public spending and the high fiscal deficit.
From the press release by Moody's:
New York, November 19, 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has today affirmed El Salvador's Ba3 foreign currency issuer and senior unsecured ratings and changed the outlook to negative from stable.
The agency said the growing fiscal deficit, low economic growth, political polarization and weak business confidence, were the triggers for the downgrading of long-term debt.
Fitch Ratings-New York-09 July 2015: Fitch Ratings has downgraded El Salvador's long-term foreign and local currency IDRs to 'B+' from 'BB-'. Fitch has also downgraded the issue ratings on El Salvador's senior unsecured foreign and local currency bonds to 'B+' from 'BB-'.