If quarantine and mobility restriction measures are extended by two months, annualized demand for carton packaging in the region is forecast to decline by 9% in 2020, and if extended by three months, the decline could be as much as 13%.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering several scenarios for the coming months.
The impact of the covid19 crisis on the construction sector in Central America is expected to be explained, to a greater extent, by the expected fall in the business of prefabricated steel structures.
Retail sales in the automotive sector in Central America are predicted to be significantly affected by the covid-19 crisis, which would be partially explained by the drop in tire sales.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, during the coming months.
This sector would be one of the least affected by the covid-19 crisis in Central America, which would be partly explained by the performance of bottled water sales and dairy marketing.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, during the coming months.
As a result of the crisis generated by the spread of the coronavirus, producers predict that the demand for tuna in Central America will grow by about 50%.
Representatives of the Spanish conglomerate Calvo Group, say that in Panama the inventory of tuna prepared for all of March was exhausted in three days, due to the health emergency that markets in the region are going through.
In Central America, it is estimated that the sectors that could expect a severe impact on sales in the coming months are Transport, Entertainment and some sub-sectors of Industry and Trade.
The "Information system for the Covid-19 Impact Analysis on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector, during the coming months.
After a quarantine was decreed in El Salvador because of the spread of covid-19, there is uncertainty among Nicaraguan producers because the borders may be closed for their products.
Since March 11, Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has decreed a nationwide quarantine, arguing that there is a risk of spreading the coronavirus to neighboring countries, where there are already several confirmed cases.
During February in Honduras, the Economic Activity Confidence Index registered a 15% increase compared to that reported in January 2020.
The informants said that the main macroeconomic variables are within the current Monetary Program, highlighting the strength of the U.S. economy and its effect on Honduras, mainly in attracting family remittances, explains the Central Bank report.
After 198,000 motorcycles were sold in the country in 2019, local businessmen forecast that during 2020 the number of units sold could increase between 12% and 17%.
Data from the Association of Motorcycle Importers (Asim) indicate that on average 16,500 motorcycles are sold in the Guatemalan market per month, but only in February 2020 sales exceeded 19,000 units.
In February 2020, the Index of Confidence in Economic Activity in Guatemala reported a 64% growth compared to the same month last year, reinforcing the upward trend that has been registered since July 2019.
Businessmen forecast an inflationary rhythm of 3.25% for February, 3.36% for March and 3.38% for April 2020. As to December 2020 and 2021, the Panel forecasts an inflationary rhythm of 4.16% and 4.20%, in that order.
Nicaraguan businessmen believe that electoral reform is essential to reactivate the country's economic activity, which has been in decline since the crisis erupted in 2018.
According to estimates by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Nicaragua's Gross Domestic Product contracted by 5.7% in 2019, a drop that complements the year-on-year variation of -3.8% recorded in 2018.
After registering a 12% growth in 2019, this year in the construction sector is expected to keep up investments and exceed $1.3 billion.
Directors of the Salvadoran Chamber of the Construction Industry (Casalco), expect that this year public infrastructure projects will maintain the dynamism of investments in the sector.
Although in 2019 worldwide vehicle sales fell by 3 million units, in Guatemala distributors project that this year local sales could grow between 5% and 10%.
According to Fitch Ratings risk data, at the end of last year reported a significant drop in vehicle sales globally, a decline that was induced by the contraction of the Chinese market.
Dental treatments and preventive medicine are the services most demanded by tourists visiting Guatemala in search of medical attention.
Data from the Health and Welfare Commission of the Guatemalan Association of Exporters (Agexport), details that 40% of tourists demand dental services, 16% preventive medicine, 10% orthopedic, 7% cardiovascular and 6% plastic and cosmetic surgeries.
Although the Consumer Confidence Index reports increases in the last two quarters, the perception of the country's economy continues to be pessimistic.
According to the Consumer Confidence survey, conducted by the University of Costa Rica, between August and November 2019 the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) rose from 28.5 to 32.3, and by February this year it had risen to 37.