Once the economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.
Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in Panamanian household demand for different goods and services as the most critical phases in the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.
New health and hygiene protocols in the establishments and the commitment to attract national tourists in an environment where short trips will be preferred, are some of the trends predicted in the new "normality" that will come after the quarantine period.
Given the quarantines decreed by most governments worldwide, it is anticipated that the habits of tourists will change dramatically in the short and medium term, as the crisis of covid-19 will leave consequences among consumers.
The sharp drop expected in the income of the tourism industry in Central America will be partially explained by the decline in hotel activity and tourist marinas.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering various scenarios for the coming months.
Because of the measures restricting mobility in the main markets for Nicaraguan exports, there is uncertainty among businessmen, who fear that the prices of their products will be affected in this situation.
Following the outbreak of covid-19 in the world, the authorities in the U.S. and several countries in Europe and Asia, have ordered the closure of shopping centers, bars, restaurants and cafes, a situation that has caused the drop in consumption globally.
Some of the effects of the health emergency and the restrictions decreed by the government on the real estate sector in Guatemala are the cancellation of appointments with clients and the suspension of projects and contracts.
In the case of residential construction, businessmen anticipate that a considerable drop could be reported later, since the drop in remittances combined with the increase in unemployment, will affect the willingness to build or buy a house.
In Central America, it is expected that the impact of the covid-19 crisis on the plastic product manufacturing business will be partly explained by the expected drop in sales of bottles and household products.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, during the coming months.
If quarantine and mobility restriction measures are extended by two months, it is expected that by the end of the year the annualized demand for industrial wood products in Central America will have fallen by 10%.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Area of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering different scenarios for the coming months.
If the quarantine and mobility restriction measures are extended by two months, it is forecast that by the end of the year the annualized demand for electricity generation, transmission and distribution in Central America will have fallen by 4%.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering various scenarios for the coming months.
As the restriction and quarantine measures taken to prevent the spread of covid-19 in the Central American economies are relaxed, cinema ticket sales are forecast to fall by 6%.
Using a demand-income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations that household demand for different goods and services will undergo as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the countries of the region are lifted.
If the quarantine and mobility restriction measures are extended by two months, it is forecast that by the end of the year the annualized demand for repair and maintenance services of machinery and industrial equipment in Central America will have fallen by 5%.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering different scenarios for the coming months.
In Central America, it is projected that the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on the business of retail sales of gasoline and oil products will be explained mainly by the expected drop in gasoline and diesel sales.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the degree of impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, during the coming months.
If the quarantine and mobility restriction measures are extended by two months, it is predicted that by the end of the year the annualized demand for car rental services in Central America will have fallen by 30%.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of Covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, considering different scenarios for the coming months.
The impact of the covid-19 crisis on the wholesale sector in Central America is predicted to be explained, to a greater extent, by the expected drop in trade in disposable items.
The "Information System for the Impact Analysis of covid-19 on Business", prepared by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, measures the impact that the crisis will have on companies according to their sector or economic activity, during the coming months.
According to businessmen in the country's textile sector, as a result of the covid-19 pandemic, a reduction in work orders is expected during the second half of the year.
Representatives of the Nicaraguan Association of the Textile and Clothing Industry (Anitec), predict that with the closure of the stores of several of their clients, sales will be reduced considerably and inventory levels will increase.
Once the Central American economies begin to return to normal, as the restriction and quarantine measures that have been taken to prevent the spread of the covid-19 are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.
For example, the demand for meals out of home will decrease by about 7% from the levels reported prior to the crisis.