Arguing that in 2020 and 2021 inflation is expected to remain within the target range, although below its average value of 3%, the Central Bank reduced the monetary policy rate from 2.75% to 2.25%.
Over the next two years, the central bank's monetary policy will continue to be aimed at keeping inflation low and stable and supporting economic activity, in line with the counter-cyclical stance it adopted from March 2019, reported the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR).
For the seventh time this year, the Central Bank decided to reduce the monetary policy rate as a measure to stimulate economic activity, this time from 3.25% to 2.75%.
With this adjustment the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) is at the lowest level since May 2017, when it was at 2.50%.
Between January and July of this year in Costa Rica the Central Bank lowered the Monetary Policy Rate four times in a row, but its last decision was to maintain it at 4%.
Among the arguments of the monetary authority it is worth highlighting that the international interest rates are adjusted downward. In particular, the US Federal Reserve System reduced the reference interest rate range by 25 base points.
Arguing that there are deflationary pressures and that the unemployment rate remains high, the Central Bank reduced the Monetary Policy Rate from 4.5% to 4%.
This would be the fourth reduction in the Monetary Policy Rate made by the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) so far this year, since at the beginning of 2019 was at 5.25% and is currently reduced to 4%.
The effects of the reduction in the Monetary Policy Rate and the lowering to 12% of the minimum legal reserve for banks will take months to be perceived, and without other parallel actions that impact the business sector more quickly and effectively, the economic reactivation of Costa Rica will not be possible in the short term.
According to the latest report of the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR), when comparing the level of economic activity recorded in March this year with the same month of 2018, it is observed that most economic activities slow down their growth, which was reflected in the slowdown of the general indicator. See full report.
Arguing that the rise in international commodity prices and the redefinition of the basic tax basket could put upward pressure on inflation, the Central Bank reduced the Monetary Policy Rate to 4.75%.
This is the second reduction made by the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) so far this year, since at the end of March it decided to reduce the monetary policy rate from 5.25% to 5%.
Arguing that there are factors that could push inflation down, in Costa Rica the Central Bank decided to reduce the monetary policy rate from 5.25% to 5%.
The inflation forecast models of the Central Bank suggest that this would converge to the target range from the second quarter of 2019 and would remain around or below the midpoint of that range during the horizon of the 2019-2020 macroeconomic programming, informed the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR).
Arguing that inflation expectations are within the target range, in Costa Rica the Central Bank decided to keep the monetary policy rate unchanged.
The last increase in the monetary policy rate was made in early November 2018, when the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) decided to raise it from 5% to 5.25%, arguing that forecasts suggest that inflation in 2019 could be above the upper limit of the target range.
For the second time this month and arguing short-term inflationary pressures, the central bank has decided to raise the monetary policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%.
This increase in the monetary policy rate follows the one announced on April 6, when the Central Bank raised it to 2.25%, before then it had remained at 1.75% since January 2016.
Arguing the existence of additional pressures on inflation, the Central Bank has raised the monetary policy rate to 2.25%, a rate which has stood at 1.75% since January 2016.
If one thing the current authorities of the Central Bank have stated clear is the concern about the stability of all macroeconomic variables, starting with the exchange rate.
From analysis given in a blog by Aldesa, Pulso Bursatil:
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