After the multi-sector dialogue in Costa Rica was concluded, the main risk qualifiers agree that because the agreements signed to reduce the deficit are not enough, the government should execute its fiscal policies in a timely manner.
Although Costa Rica's fiscal situation was already precarious before the health and economic crisis that led to the covid-19 outbreak began, the scenario started to worsen since March of this year.
With the Nicaraguan authorities confirming that they will review the Tax Agreement Law again in 2020, the business sector is calling for the correction of several measures that have decapitalized companies operating in the country.
On February 27, 2019, the reform to the Tax Harmonization Law was approved, which consisted in raising income tax from 1% to 2% for medium sized companies with higher income, and from 1% to 3% for large taxpayers.
Although Costa Rica and Nicaragua approved fiscal reforms this year, it is predicted that the expected results in terms of tax collection will not be achieved.
The document "Centroamérica: análisis sintético, por país, del desempeño de la recaudación tributaria en 2019", prepared by the Instituto Centroamericano de Estudios Fiscales (Icefi), explains that, in the case of Costa Rica and Nicaragua, the expected results in terms of improved collection are still in doubt.
In Costa Rica, modifications to the salary tax brackets establish that income of up to $1,394 will be exempt from collection of the tax, and those exceeding $1,394 and up to $2,046 will pay 10%.
On June 25, the Ministry of Finance published in La Gaceta the new income tax brackets to be applied to salaries between July 1 and September 30, 2019.
The publication details that the tranches will remain like this:
For the IMF, the country "may need additional fiscal measures, focused on the short term, to alleviate financing pressures and improve debt dynamics.”
After analyzing the current economic situation in Costa Rica, the directors of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) commended the recent fiscal reform, which is important to restore fiscal sustainability.
It is estimated that construction costs in Costa Rica could increase up to 9% once the new fiscal plan comes into effect.
From next July 1, the collection of value added tax (VAT) will be staggered, because in the first year new buildings will not pay taxes, in the second pay 4%, in the third 8% and in the fourth 13%.
Although Costa Rica's fiscal reform has already been approved, the IMF proposes raising some taxes as part of an "additional adjustment" to reduce debt and ease financial pressure in the short term.
"... “We are negatively surprised by the simplistic position of the International Monetary Fund that in the absence of money, taxes should be raised, we consider those words unacceptable, because it has been demonstrated in this country that a large part of the deficit is because of the inefficient use of public funds and an issue of state efficiency that does not allow people to become businessmen," said UCCAEP President Gonzalo Delgado."
The financial deficit of the Central Government at the end of last year was equivalent to 6% of the Gross Domestic Product, 1.2% less than originally expected.
According to the authorities, the fiscal deficit as a proportion of GDP was lower than expected because of the measures taken in terms of collection, expenditure containment and efficiency, and the approval of the Law to Strengthen Public Finances.
During the new year, the main challenge for Costa Rica's economy will be to increase above 3%, given that 2018 was marked by a context of fiscal uncertainty and economic slowdown.
According to the Central Bank of Costa Rica, economic growth, measured by the year-on-year variation of the trend cycle of gross domestic product (GDP), slowed last year, and recorded to the third quarter a 2.1% rate (3.2% in the same period of 2017 and 2.8% as the average rate of the two previous quarters).
The economic environment in 2018 was defined by a context of fiscal uncertainty, economic slowdown and greater financial volatility, together with a difficult external environment.
Regarding the fiscal uncertainty occupying a large part of last year's economic agenda, explains the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) which was originated, firstly, in the electoral process that lasted until April, and later in the difficulties faced to achieve an agreement that would help restore the sustainability of public finances in the medium term.
Alvarado administration celebrates the approval of the tax reform in Costa Rica by announcing a series of initiatives that include, among other things, a public employment reform Project.
After a year of proceedings in Congress and after having been reviewed by a Constitutional Chamber, the country's Assembly finally approved file 20.580. By endorsing this project, the government intends to strengthen its public finances through changes made to the taxation system.
After Costa Rica's Constitutional Chamber prepared the path for tax reform in the Congress, the dollar's price against the local currency stopped rising, and positive reactions were reported in the risk outlook.
Last November 23rd, Court IV issued its judgment, so the law project has a free way to move forward more quickly during the coming weeks in the Congress.
After a long and tense wait, the Constitutional Chamber granted the approval for the Law to Strengthen Public Finances to be voted in Congress with a simple majority.
The Court's judgment prepares the way for the law to advance more quickly in the coming weeks in the Congress. Now legislators will be able to vote their approval in the second debate, ending a long period of uncertainty, which led to a significant depreciation of the Colon against the dollar, a rise in interest rates and a general concern about the economic future in the short term.
The business sector welcomes the progress achieved with the tax reform approval in the first debate, but notes that it does not fully solve the financial problems facing the government.
In the debate last Friday, the representatives approved the file number 20.580, known as the tax reform law. The approval was optimistically received by the Costa Rican Union of Chambers and Associations of Private Business Sector (Uccaep).
The Central Bank explained that the short-term loan of almost $870 million to the Ministry of Finance will have no impact on inflation.
From a statement issued by the Central Bank of Costa Rica:
September 25, 2018.In accordance with what is authorized by Costa Rican legislation, the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) agreed, on Tuesday, September 25, 2018, to the acquisition of Treasury Notes, issuedby the Ministry of Finance, for an amount of ¢498,858.8 million.