Standard & Poor's downgraded the foreign debt rating from B+ to B with a negative outlook, arguing that there is uncertainty due to the lack of flexibility of the Alvarado administration in implementing fiscal policy in the country.
The negative perspective in the new risk note, anticipates that there is a possibility that in the next 12 months the rating will be degraded again, if the authorities adopt policies that damage the country's financial profile.
The rating agency decided to keep the long-term issuer's note at B2, but changed the risk outlook from stable to negative, arguing that there are greater risks to the country's financing due to increased borrowing requirements.
The affirmation of Costa Rica's B2 rating takes into account the sovereign's levels of wealth above its peers and its dynamic economy.
The Costa Rican Assembly approved in second debate a credit with the Latin American Development Bank, which will be used to assist people who lose their jobs, as well as employers and independent workers.
The funds from the $500 million loan from the Andean Development Cooperation, which was originally planned to be used for debt repayment, will be used to finance the Costa Rican government's response to the national emergency caused by the Covid-19 virus, the Legislative Assembly reported.
Treasury authorities announced that plans for this year are to negotiate with the Legislative Assembly for approval to issue debt in the international market, and if approved, the issuance would take place in 2021.
Last year the executive branch's plans were to issue $6 billion in Eurobonds, but the Legislative Assembly approved the issuance of only $1.5 billion, arguing that the amount proposed at the beginning was too high.
The Central Bank announced that for the first half of 2020 it expects to issue $438 million in the primary market, as Stabilization Bonds.
From the BCCR statement:
San José, February 27, 2020. Consistent with monetary policy goals, the Central Bank of Costa Rica expects to carry out an issuance of Monetary Stabilization Bonds (BEM), in the primary market, for ₡250.000 million.
Arguing that the high fiscal deficit is still on an upward trend, the rating agency downgraded the long-term and senior unsecured government bond issuer's note from B1 to B2.
Fiscal deficits averaging more than 6% of GDP since 2015 have led to higher public debt/GDP than its 'B'-rated peers, the rating agency said.
From Moody's statement:
New York, February 10, 2020. Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") has today downgraded the Government of Costa Rica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured bond ratings to B2 from B1 and changed its rating outlook to stable from negative.
To ensure financing for its future functions, the Costa Rican government will seek loans from the World Bank, IDB, CABEI and CAF during 2020, and plans to insist on the approval of $4.5 billion in Eurobonds.
For this year, the Costa Rican government plans to continue negotiating loans for budget support with the World Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), the Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CABEI) and the Andean Development Corporation - Latin American Development Bank (CAF).
On November 12, the debt securities were sold in the international market, and at the end of the negotiation, bonds were issued for $1.2 billion maturing in 2031 and $300 million maturing in 2045.
The negotiation of the public debt issued by the government of Costa Rica in the international market closed at noon on November 12, and the yield for those maturing in 2031 was 6.25% and for those expiring in 2045 was 7.25%.
Standard & Poor's has given a B+ rating to the $1.5 billion debt issue that Costa Rica expects to place in the international market in November.
"Global Ratings today assigned a "B+" rating to the prospective reopening of Costa Rica's notes which have a 7.158% rate maturing in 2045 and a "B+" rating in its planned issuance of notes maturing in 2031, the latter issue still does not have a defined trading rate," the rating agency said on November 8.
Fitch Ratings kept in B+ with a negative outlook, the sovereign debt rating, arguing that "the weaknesses in public finances are reflected and the political stagnation has prevented the timely approval of reforms that address these problems."
The new fiscal rule has not been approved, and the Congressional authorization requirement for foreign loans periodically restricts Costa Rica's financial flexibility, is another of the risk qualifier's arguments.
The Legislative Assembly approved a $35 million loan from the Inter-American Development Bank to "support the country in the implementation of its fiscal reform program.”
At the beginning of July, in the midst of the controversy generated by the recent implementation of fiscal reform in Costa Rica, the approval of a credit to strengthen fiscal sustainability was announced.
Costa Rican authorities informed that Citi Global Markets and HSBC Global Banking will be the placement banks and financial advisors that will accompany the country in the process of issuance of securities and management of liabilities in the international market.
The issue that will be made at the international level is the one that was approved on July 16 through Bill No.
The Ministry of Finance plans to present a new bill in the Legislative Assembly to issue $4.5 billion in foreign debt bonds next year.
The amount that will be requested is what is needed to reach the $6 billion that was requested this year before Congress, of which only $1.5 billion was authorized.
The Central Bank expects to issue Monetary Stabilization Bonds during the second semester of the year, for the equivalent of $792 million.
The Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) will maintain the issuance strategy carried out in recent years, issuing bonds through competitive auctions. Specifically, there will be monthly auctions of zero coupon instruments for 6 and 12 months, as well as fixed rate bonds for 2 years, the institution said.
Although the goal for this year was to issue $100 million in debt bonds, during the first quarter the Nicaraguan government only awarded $1.1 million, doubting the level of investor confidence.
According to the "Public Debt Report, First Quarter 2019", prepared by the Central Bank of Nicaragua, from January to March regarding Investment Securities in dollars, 1.03 million was issued at an average rate of 5.31% and an average term of 7 months.