Because the area of stolen land in Guatemala has grown from about 10,000 hectares in the 1990s to 164,000 in 2018, losses in agricultural production caused by this phenomenon reached nearly $650 million last year.
The Chamber of Agriculture (Camagro) estimates that only in 2018, invasions of private property, mainly agricultural production farms, generated a negative impact equivalent to 0.6% of Gross Domestic Product.
Businessmen in Nicaragua expect to reduce by at least 50% the investments they had previously planned for 2018, waiting for the problems affecting the country to be solved.
The research by the Consejo Superior de la Empresa Privada (Cosep) and the Fundación Nicaragüense para el Desarrollo Económico y Social (Funides), takes place in the context of more than 160 days of political and social crisis, which has severely affected the performance of the country's economy.
Five months after the socio-political crisis in Nicaragua, it is estimated that this year Gross Domestic Product will contract between by 2.1% and 4%, in real terms.
The Nicaraguan Foundation for Economic and Social Development (FUNIDES) has updatedits estimates on the economic and social impact of the crisis in 2018, in which it poses a first scenario that assumes that people and companies will adapt to a "new reality". In this context, the losses in added value would amount to $946 million.
In 100 days of political and social crisis in Nicaragua, entrepreneurs estimate that businesses dedicated to trade and services have lost earnings of $1 billion.
Representatives from the Chamber of Commerce and Services of Nicaragua (CCSN), reported that companies dedicated to trade projected that by 2018 they would reach sales of $2.3 billion, however, due to the crisis that has affected the different sectors of the economy that will be impossible.
To be able to ship cargo throughout the region, Central American business leaders are exploring options for moving goods using alternative methods, such as shipping.
Representatives from the Costa Rican government and the union of exporters met to address the issue of blockades in Nicaragua and the logistical drawbacks that they have caused, since Costa Rica transports by land about five thousand containers to the other Central American countries every month. As a result of this meeting, both parties concluded that the most viable option is to use maritime transport.
In response to the rupture of the dialogue on the part of the Ortega administration, companies and citizen organizations have called for a national strike on Thursday, June 14.
Demanding the cessation of repression by the Government and the resumption of the National Dialogue, social and business organizations, called for a general strike to take place tomorrow.
In the optimistic scenario, which foresees an end to the crisis in Nicaragua by the end of July, economic growth at the end of 2018 would be only 1.7%, with $400 million losses in added value.
The Nicaraguan Foundation for Economic and Social Development projects that a possible first scenario would be one where "...the government accepts an early exit negotiated and implemented no later than the end of July, thus achieving a framework of understanding focused on the issues of justice and democratization, putting an end to repression, violence and citizen insecurity."
Due to the crisis in the country, the Central Bank has reduced the estimate of economic growth for this year from the range of 4.5% to 5%, to the range of 3% to 3.5%.
Ovidio Reyes, president of the Central Bank of Nicaragua (BCN), explained that "... the hardest and most regrettable thing about this is the generation of employment.We are expecting the loss of 58,300 new jobs as a result of the lower economic dynamics."