After power outages were banned, Energuate notified generators that there is a possibility of not paying for all the power they have provided so far.
Weeks ago, Congress approved and published Decree 15-2020, which prohibits cuts in water, electricity, cable TV, telephone and Internet services during the state of calamity and its possible extensions, and which came into effect following the outbreak of covid-19 in the country.
Arguing that a lower economic growth and a higher fiscal deficit are expected due to the effects of the covid-19, the agency decided to modify from BB to BB- the country risk rating.
The situation of the tax burden in the country is another factor affecting Fitch's decision, which was communicated to the Banco de Guatemala through the preliminary bulletin that the agency sent to the authorities.
Fitch Ratings agreed to change the perspective of the region's banks from stable to negative, arguing that the current health crisis will affect financial institutions in all countries.
Considering the measures that countries have adopted in the last 15 days in economic matters, following the spread of covid-19, Fitch expects that there will be a decrease in the issuance of loans.
Arguing that management practices were detected that put at risk its solvency and soundness, the Monetary Board decided to suspend the operations of Financiera de Occidente, S.A., an entity that represents 0.35% of the total assets of the local banking system.
Erick Vargas Sierra, head of the Superintendence of Banks (SIB), told Prensalibre.com that "...
Arguing that continuity in economic policies is expected after the change of administration in January 2020, Standard & Poor's maintained the country's credit risk rating at BB-.
From S&P report:
S&P Global Ratings confirmed its long-term sovereign credit ratings of "BB-" in long-term foreign currency and "BB" in Guatemala. The outlook for our long-term ratings remains stable.
Institutional problems and lower levels of economic growth compared to other countries with the same risk rating, could cause in the future a degradation of Guatemala's debt rating.
Guatemalan businessmen assure that the change from Stable to Negative made by Fitch Ratings in the country's risk perspective should be taken seriously, since investments could stagnate.
On April 11, Fitch announced that it maintained its "BB" rating for long-term foreign currency debt default, but decided to modify the outlook because the country reflects political tension and greater uncertainty in agents, as well as a constant erosion in the government's low tax collection.
Fitch Ratings confirmed the long-term foreign currency debt default rating of "BB", but changed the outlook from stable to negative.
The review of Guatemala's negative outlook reflects political tension and greater uncertainty in agents, as well as a constant erosion in the government's low tax collection, the rating agency argued.
The governments of Costa Rica and Nicaragua will face greater challenges in obtaining financing in external markets, because of the lowering of their risk ratings by international agencies.
Arguing that Costa Rica reflects consistently large fiscal deficits, short-term financing needs because of a strong repayment schedule and budget financing constraints, Fitch Ratings reported on January 15 that the country's long-term foreign currency issuer default rating was downgraded from BB to B+.
Citing a long history of fiscal and monetary policy characterized by prudent management, the rating agency Moody's maintained the country's credit risk rating in Ba1.
From a statement issued by the Bank of Guatemala:
June 2018.Moody's Investors Service maintains the credit risk rating for Guatemala at Ba1 with a stable outlook.
If the reforms to the Banking Law that are being discussed in the Congress are approved, cooperatives will have to start reporting information in their loan portfolios.
Legal initiative number 5157which is pending final approval, proposes, among other changes, including in the Credit Registration Information System (SIRC by its initials in Spanish) information from financial institutions that are not yet sending reports.
...and I will tell you who you are. In their quest to reduce exposure to risk, banking correspondents have started to restrict the services they provide to gambling companies, remittance companies, and brokerage firms that are not related to banking groups in the region.
In order to reduce risk exposure, some international banks with correspondents in Panama and other countries in the region are failing to open accounts for or provide services for companies whose income comes from activities such as remittances and gambling.The banks' argument is that they are more likely to be used for money laundering. Even non-banking brokerage firms claim to have difficulty offering their customers products and services,"... since banks wont open accounts in which customers can deposit their funds and receive a return on their investment."
Trade and construction activities recorded the lowest demand for bank credit, which grew 6% in the first five months of the year compared to the same period in 2016.
Following trade and construction, electricity and water are the worst performers according to figures from the Guatemalan Superintendency of Banks.
The Superintendency of Banks is working on an update of the regulation on credit risk management and a new regulation of corporate governance for insurers.
Jose Alejandro Arevalo, head of the Superintendency of Banks (SIB), told Dca.gob.gt that"... in the case of regulation 93-2005 they want to ensure that the valuation of assets which is presented every 4 months by banks reflects economic reality and the quality of the goods."
Details of the draft law with which the Bank of Guatemala aims to improve regulation and supervision of the financial system.
From a statement issued by the Bank of Guatemala:
The bill submitted by the Monetary Board of the Executive Agency and by the President of the Republic to the Congress of the Republic on September 12 2016, introduces necessary reforms to Decree No.