After a long and tense wait, the Constitutional Chamber granted the approval for the Law to Strengthen Public Finances to be voted in Congress with a simple majority.
The Court's judgment prepares the way for the law to advance more quickly in the coming weeks in the Congress. Now legislators will be able to vote their approval in the second debate, ending a long period of uncertainty, which led to a significant depreciation of the Colon against the dollar, a rise in interest rates and a general concern about the economic future in the short term.
The representatives of the Supreme Court of Justice of Costa Rica are more concerned with defending their unacceptable privileges than with performing impartially and morally the work for which they were appointed.
EDITORIAL
Arguing that the Tax Reform approved in the first debate in the Congress imposes spending containment measures on the salaries of the Judiciary, the judges of the Supreme Court of Justice announced that they will oppose the reform if the points that affect the operation of the institutions of the Judiciary, in their opinion, are not abolished from it.
Leaving out VAT on private education and the basic basket, the substitute text of the bill to Strengthen Public Finances was approved in the legislative committee.
The controversial substitute text of the Bill Strengthening Public Finance that has already passed the first filter, and may now be analyzed by the Plenary of the Assembly, left out two of the taxes that the Alvarado administration intended to implement in its plan: VAT of 1% and 2% on products in the basic basket and 2% on private education services.
The high level of financing and the economic slowdown explain the increase in the fiscal deficit of the central government, which at the end of July reached 3.3% of GDP, the highest in the last six years.
The decrease in tax revenues, due to a slowdown in economic activity, added to the high level of government debt, explained the strong rebound in the fiscal deficit in the first half of the year.Of the total deficit, about two thirds correspond to interest.
The cost of not making decisions about the serious fiscal problem affecting Costa Rica "is incommensurable and has the potential to affect not only the economic but also the social and democratic order of the country."
This is the emphatic and clear position of the Comptroller General of the Republic of Costa Rica regarding the serious and risky situation in which the public finances of the country find themselves.Furthermore, as is well mentioned in the report "Fiscal and Budgetary Evolution I semester 2018", published recently by the institution, if decisions related to solving problems of short-term liquidity and modifying the structure of public expenditure to the medium and long term continue to be delayed, the cost to the country will be much more than just economic.
According to Fitch Ratings, the fiscal outlook still faces considerable uncertainty in Costa Rica, despite the promise of President-elect Carlos Alvarado to carry out comprehensive reforms to reduce the deficit significantly.
In the view of the ratings agency, "... President-elect Carlos Alvarado's strategy for the future is not yet clear. Pressing the smaller 'fast track' bill might be politically easier, but it could reduce the urgency around additional reforms; Supporting a larger package could be more politically difficult."
The Costa Rican Congress has approved a fast track bill that would transform sales tax into a VAT of 13% and establish a 4% rate on the purchase of packaging, wrapping and raw materials, among other things.
The bill that could be approved by the Legislative Assembly also includes "... taxes on books in all their formats, air tickets, purchase of packaging and raw materials, as well as equipment and machinery (except if there is an express exoneration) and services for agricultural and agroindustrial production."
Lack of fiscal reform continues to erode Costa Rica's public finances, constraining its long-term growth prospects and highlighting its vulnerability to external shocks.
As of February total expenditures recorded a slowdown of 1%, having increased by 6.8% compared to the 7.8% increase in the same period in 2016.
From a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance:
The First Vice President and the Minister of Finance, Fallas Helio, presented this week the tax figures at the end of February 2017, which show that both the primary deficit (total revenue less noninterest expense) as well as the financial deficit maintain the same behavior seen in February last year, 0.8% of GDP and 1% of GDP respectively.
In comparison to 2015 revenue grew by 9% and expenses by 6%, and total public debt as a proportion of GDP reached 45%.
From a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance:
The figures for income and expenditure of the central government indicate that by the end 2016,the shortfall of government revenue to cover expenses was 5.2% of GDP, less than the 6% calculated at the beginning of the year and less than the amount that was observed in 2015 (5.7%). This result represents a reduction of 2% (equivalent to ¢32 billion) from the deficit of 2015, which makes it the lowest deficit in the last four years.
The debt rating has been lowered from BB + to BB, due to the high fiscal deficit and the lack of implementation of reforms to start correcting the problem.
From a press release by Fitch:
Fitch Ratings-New York-19 January 2017: Fitch Ratings has downgraded Costa Rica's Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency IDRs to 'BB' from 'BB+'. The Outlooks were revised to Stable from Negative.
In 2016 the size of the governments in the Central American countries grew very little, the tax burden reached 14.3%, and the average fiscal deficit was about 2.8% of GDP.
From the department of Fiscal Outlook for Central America, from the report "Macrofiscal Profiles: 7th Edition", by the Central American Institute for Fiscal Studies (Icefi):
The favorable conditions in the global economy allowed the country to grow by 4.25% in 2016, and administrative efforts to reduce the fiscal deficit were noted, however they will not prevent the debt /GDP ratio from growing.
From a press release by the IMF:
Costa Rica’s economy growing robustly, GDP expected to growth by 4.25% in 2016
More needs to be done to stabilize public debt levels
Key for government and Congress to reach consensus on VAT and income tax reforms proposals to help address fiscal imbalances
Although the growth rate of government expenditure has slowed, it is above inflation, while rising incomes have allowed for a reduction of the fiscal deficit compared to last year.
From a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance:
A reduction of ¢168,742 million in the financial deficit (revenues minus expenses), and a difference of seven percentage points between increased income and expenses, are the fiscal figures for the Central Government recorded with just three months to go until the end of the year.
The ICEFI points to a "chronic political inability to achieve comprehensive fiscal agreement" which is jeopardizing the sustainability of the state in the medium and long term.
From a statement issued by the Central Institute for Fiscal Studies (Icefi):
The Central American Institute for Fiscal Studies -Icefi- assessed Costa Rica's budget for 2017, and as a result believes that if the prospects for medium and long term fiscal insufficiency are maintained, there is a serious risk of losing the social achievements of this Central American nation and accumulating fiscal deficits and public debt that could jeopardize the sustainability of the state in the medium and long term.Finally, he reiterated the need for a comprehensive fiscal agreement to ensure economic growth and social welfare in the country.