Except for Nicaragua, which projects a decline in revenues, Fitch Ratings estimates that by year-end the region's insurance markets will have grown from 3% to 8%.
According to the report Perspectives of Insurance Industry in Central America, prepared by the rating agency Fitch Ratings, El Salvador will be the market that in 2019 will register more dynamism in the region, reporting an 8% increase over revenues reported in 2018.
Fitch Ratings forecasts that the insurance sector in Central America will close 2018 with a year-on-year increase of almost 6% and expects that in 2019 the business will reach a very similar growth rate.
The projected increase for 2018 and 2019 would be based on the behavior of the Panama, Costa Rica and Guatemala markets, however, the increases of 5.8% and 6.1% forecast for 2018 and 2019, respectively, would represent a slowdown regarding the 8.2% growth registered in 2017.
Projections are that this year growth of the Central American insurance sector will be driven by activities in the markets of Costa Rica and Guatemala.
From the report "Prospects 2018: Insurance Sector in Central America" by Fitch Ratings:
Stable Rating Perspective:The rating outlook for the Central Americaninsurancesectoris stable for 2018, given that most of the rated companies maintain a stable outlook on an individual basis.Fitch Ratings believes that the sector shows stable fundamentals, as a result of good profitability levels and high liquidity and capitalization indicators in all countries, which it expects to continue to be reflected in solid balance sheets in companies.
Fitch Ratings expects moderate growth in premiums in Costa Rica, increased interest in personal insurance in Guatemala, and stable performance in Nicaragua and Honduras.
From the report "Outlook 2015: Central American Insurance Sector":
Costa Rica:
Moderate growth in premiums
Since the Costa Rican insurance industry opened up to private competition in 2008, the market has experienced rapid and consistent growth in premiums.
Fitch Ratings predicts good performance for the sector, but warns of risks such as intense competition in rates, exposure due to natural disasters, and inflation.
Fitch Ratings believes that the insurance industry will perform well in 2014, however, it does not rule the possibility that some factors such as strong competition in rates, exposure to natural disasters, inflation and devaluation of currencies in some countries will continue to exert pressures.