Fifteen months after the beginning of the health and economic crisis, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua are the economies in the region with the highest inflation rates, a behavior that was influenced by increases in fuel and transportation costs.
In the second quarter of 2020, a period in which the countries of the region were going through a severe economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 outbreak, inflation levels were low and in some economies negative variations were reported.
Discounts and offers, increase in the price level generally and the rise in operating costs due to new health and safety protocols are the main threats to the profitability of companies in this new commercial reality.
Given this context of economic and health crisis, which derives from the outbreak of covid-19 at the global level, Ariel Baños, a specialist in price management and founder of Fijaciondeprecios.com, explains what are the main threats that could affect the profitability levels of companies, and details some strategies that could be applied to mitigate the adverse effects.
Avoiding hurried discounts, managing price increases according to costs and improving cash flow are some of the strategies that companies can resort to protect their profitability in contexts of inflation and recession.
Ariel Baños, a price management specialist and founder of Fijciondeprecios.com, explains four strategies for maintaining profitability when companies face scenarios of rising prices and low dynamism in economic activity.
Making real sales projections, segmenting prices and designing savings options are some of the strategies that companies can use to protect their profitability in contexts of inflation and recession.
Ariel Baños, price management specialist and founder of Fijciondeprecios.com, details techniques that could help companies avoid negative effects on their finances, when faced with scenarios of rising prices and low dynamism in economic activity.
In June, the consumer price indexes in all of the countries in the Central American region recorded year-on-year increases in the transport spending division.
According to a report from the Central American Monetary Council, in June of this year, Nicaragua was the country that reported the highest year-on-year increase in the price level of transportation services, registering an increase of 9.8% compared to the same month in 2018.
Analysis of debt sustainability in Central America, economic growth, inflation, revaluation and management of the fiscal deficit.
Central America Fiscal Lens No. 5 reported that gross domestic production in Central America in 2012 amounted to U.S. $184.000 million. The fastest growing economies were Panama, Costa Rica and Nicaragua.
As for exports, although they grew by 7.1%, they were quite far from the 20.5% achieved in 2011.
The IDB warned that the increase in fuel and food prices may trigger inflation across Central America.
All Central American countries registered increases in the price of oil, surpassing $ 4.30 per gallon of 95 octane fuel. These levels are similar to those experienced during the international crisis of 2008.
Analysts agree that oil prices will continue to rise as a result of political instability in the Middle East and internal factors in the oil industry, which faces rising costs and refinement problems.
Central America may be directly impacted by the slowdown in the recovery of the world economy.
For the time being, the region's measures of external and internal demand do not seem affected by the threat of lower growth rates for the economies of partner developed countries. Some central banks had raised their expectations but, in view of the risks, they are likely to revise their growth predictions back to original levels between 2.0% and 2.7%.
Inflation deceleration and Risks to economic recovery.
The quarterly report from the Executive Secretary of the Central American Monetary Council (SECMCA) focuses on the region's inflation and recovery prospects.
Inflation, measured by year-on-year change in consumer prices, slowed in the second quarter of 2010 to 4.9%, compared to 2.9% in June 2009. This level is within the target limits set by the region's central banks.
Central American countries still need to improve their economic performance to reach investment grade ratings.
On its Quarterly Country Risk report for June 2010, the Central American Monetary Council (SECMCA), notes that Moody’s Investor Service improved the foreign currency risk ratings for Guatemala and Nicaragua. For Guatemala, the criteria for this improvement included a stable macroeconomic environment, backed by prudent fiscal and monetary policies, and for Nicaragua improvement in debt indicators and low fiscal deficits.
Monthly Index of Economic Activity (IMAE), exports, remittances, international reserves, exchange rates, inflation, tax collection, banking system, foreign investment, tourism and outlooks.
Oscar E. Mendizábal, editor of the Blog “Desde Guate” (From Guatemala), gathers and analyses the main factors influencing the Central American economy (except Panama) during the first six months of this year.
After showing constant growth during 2007 and 2008, inflation indexes slowed down considerably in the second half of 2009.
The Executive Secretary of the Central American Monetary Council presented its 30th Regional Economic Update. In it, they calculate how much inflation was indirectly imported by the Central American countries.
For this, they elaborated indexes of the various components which explain price changes in the past years.
According to Fitch Ratings, even though the economic scenario has improved, Central American banks face challenges related to the quality of their assets.
Central American banking systems have weathered the financial crisis relatively well. Even though profits fell considerably during 2009, industry solvency levels remain good. Profits fall mostly because banks opted for liquid assets and increased their expenses in provisions.