In March 2021, the Monthly Index of Economic Activity reported a 6.9% increase over the level recorded in the same month of 2020.
The Guatemalan economy continues to show positive signs, as after facing a crisis during 2020 due to the covid-19 outbreak, economic activity has recovered rapidly in the last months of last year and in the first quarter of 2021.
According to the IMF, the local economy is well positioned to support the recovery and overcome the deterioration of social indicators, which worsened due to the pandemic caused by the Covid-19 outbreak.
Strong remittances, pandemic-resilient productive specialization, and unprecedented economic policy support limited economic contraction in 2020, while the outlook for 2021 benefits from additional U.S.
Twelve months after Central America began a health and economic crisis triggered by the covid-19 outbreak, Guatemala was the fastest recovering economy and Panamanian economic activity is the slowest to return to pre-pandemic levels.
In March 2020, the first cases of covid-19 began to be detected in the countries of the region. The highly contagious disease, which at that time had already claimed the lives of thousands of people around the world, forced Central American governments to establish mobility restrictions.
During January of this year, the Monthly Index of Economic Activity reported a 3.2% increase compared to the level reported in the same month of 2020.
The Guatemalan economy continues to show positive signs, since after facing a crisis during 2020 due to the covid-19 outbreak, economic activity has recovered quickly in recent months.
Because of the fall in economic activity and the restrictions imposed to contain the spread of covid-19, businessmen in Costa Rica and Panama predict that the process of economic recovery will not be completed in the near future.
In this crisis scenario generated by the covid-19 outbreak, the Costa Rican economy does not show clear signs of recovery, since during November 2020 the Monthly Index of Economic Activity reported a year-on-year fall of 6.2%, a decline similar to that reported in October, when it was 6.3%.
After seven months of reporting drops in production levels, which were caused by the crisis generated by the covid-19 outbreak, during October the Monthly Index of Economic Activity registered a 1.3% year-on-year variation.
The health emergency led to a severe economic crisis, which began to become evident in March, when the Monthly Index of Economic Activity (IMAE) fell 5% year-on-year.
In the critical context of this year, the resilience of remittances and exports, added to the decline in oil prices, would have somewhat shielded the Guatemalan economy, whose GDP would fall only 2% by the end of 2020.
The programs in response to Covid-19 (Bono Familia, Fondo de Protección al Empleo, Fondo de Crédito para Capital de Trabajo), along with the temporary restructuring of loans by the banking system, are helping to sustain household income and business liquidity, the multilateral agency reported after making its last visit.
As of June, Central American economies began to show signs of incipient recovery and as of August, Guatemala, Nicaragua and Costa Rica registered the smallest drops in their levels of economic activity.
Since March of this year, the region has faced a severe economic crisis generated by the outbreak of covid-19. The strict quarantines decreed, the closure of borders and commercial establishments, ended up damaging the dynamism of productive activities.
After the IMAE in Guatemala registered a -11% year-on-year variation in May of this year, during June and July the production contractions were lower, reporting falls of 7% and 5%, in that order.
The Bank of Guatemala reported that in the current economic crisis that emerged due to the spread of covid-19, the activities that have most boosted the drop in production are trade, tourism and transportation.
Guatemalan businessmen believe that in order to reactivate economic activity in the country, it is necessary to restrict the number of people in public spaces and increase the number of tests performed on those who have signs of carrying the virus.
After the economies of the region grew by 2.6% in 2018 as a whole, the IMF estimates that 2019 would close with a rise of 2.7% and could reach 3.4% by 2020.
The document "World Economic Outlook", prepared by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), states that for Panama the projected growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 2019 was reduced from 5% to 4.3%.
After economic activity in April reported a 2.8% year-on-year growth, in May the variation was 3.3%, mainly because of the behavior of commercial activity.
The document prepared by the Banco de Guatemala explains that "... The economic activity measured by the estimation of the IMAE in May 2019, showed a 3.3% growth rate (3.8% in May 2018).
The described behavior was influenced by the growth shown by the following economic activities: Wholesale and retail trade; manufacturing industries; private services; and agriculture, livestock, hunting, forestry and fishing.
The Central American Economic Activity Index, prepared by CentralAmericaData, recorded a year-on-year growth of 3.4% as of August.
Figures from the Information System Central American Macroeconomic Monitoring by the Business Intelligence Unit at CentralAmericaData: [GRAFICA caption="Clic para interactuar con la gráfica"]
The monthly index of economic activity in the region, compiled by CentralAmericaData, registered a year-on-year growth of 3% in April.
Figures from the Information System ´Central American Macroeconomic Monitoring´ by the Business Intelligence Unit at CentralAmerica Data: [Figure caption = "Click to interact with the graphic"]
Exploitation of mines and quarries was responsible for most of the variation in the economic activity index in May of this year, registering a year-on-year increase of 2.4%.
From the monthly report by the Bank of Guatemala:
Economic activity measured by the IMAE estimate, in May 2017, showed growth of 2.4% (4.2% in May 2016). [GRAFICA caption = "Click to interact with graph"]
Real Estate Development & Adventure Park Jacó, Costa Rica. Multiple Investment Opportunities Available. The Ocean Ranch eco-residential development is located...