Vehicles: Post Quarantine Sales Outlook

As the economies of Central America begin to relax the restrictions that have been taken to prevent the spread of covid-19, sales of pickup trucks are predicted to be among the most contracted.

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Using a demand-income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations that household demand for different goods and services will undergo as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 pass and mobility restriction measures are lifted in the countries of the region.

For this analysis, it is assumed that quarantine and mobility restriction measures will be extended for three months.

When analyzing vehicle marketing forecasts, the interactive information system specifies that sales of car-type units would be among the most affected, as the contraction would amount to about 45%.

Compared to the sales levels recorded prior to the covid-19 crisis, sales of conventional and electric motorcycles will also register a decline, but in this case it would be minimal.

The "Information System: Covid-19 and Business Forecasts" is helping our clients to understand the new commercial reality of the demand for goods and services from companies in all sectors, with details such as the financial strength of clients and suppliers of each economic activity, which allows us to forecast which of them could face more difficulties in the coming months.

Do you want to know more post-quarantine sales forecasts? Click here to request access to the report.      

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Guatemala: Household Expenditure Forecast

April 2020

Once the local economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that Guatemalan households will have reduced their demand for car insurance by 7%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to forecast the variations in demand by Guatemalan households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Honduras: Forecast of New Consumption Levels

April 2020

When the local economy begins to return to the new normality, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that the demand for electricity by Honduran households will have decreased by 11%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Honduran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Panama: Outlook for Consumption

April 2020

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in Panamanian household demand for different goods and services as the most critical phases in the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Post-Quarantine Consumption Patterns

March 2020

Once the Central American economies begin to return to normal, as the restriction and quarantine measures that have been taken to prevent the spread of the covid-19 are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

For example, the demand for meals out of home will decrease by about 7% from the levels reported prior to the crisis.

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