Entertainment: Post-Quarantine Consumption Forecasts

As the restriction and quarantine measures taken to prevent the spread of covid-19 in the Central American economies are relaxed, cinema ticket sales are forecast to fall by 6%.

Monday, March 30, 2020

Using a demand-income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations that household demand for different goods and services will undergo as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the countries of the region are lifted.

For this analysis, it is expected that quarantine and mobility restriction measures will be extended for two months.

When analyzing the level of spending on club and fitness center fees, it is estimated that after the quarantine period, households in Central America will reduce their spending on this type of service by about 4%.

Once the economies begin to normalize their commercial activity, spending on trips to the Theater could contract by at least 2%, as compared to the sales levels recorded prior to the Covid-19 crisis.

The "Information system: Covid-19 and Business Outlook", is helping our clients understand and dimension the degree of impact that the crisis will have on the demand for goods and services of companies in all sectors, with details such as the financial strength of customers and suppliers of each economic activity, which allows us to forecast which of them could face more difficulties in the coming months.

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More on this topic

El Salvador: Post-Confinement Consumption Level

April 2020

When the local economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, demand for health insurance is estimated to fall by 7%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Salvadoran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Honduras: Forecast of New Consumption Levels

April 2020

When the local economy begins to return to the new normality, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that the demand for electricity by Honduran households will have decreased by 11%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Honduran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Nicaragua: Consumption Outlook

April 2020

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as the phases of the pandemic are overcome in the country, it is estimated that the demand for meals outside the home will have decreased by 13%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by CentralAmericaData's Trade Intelligence Unit, variations in demand by Nicaraguan households for different goods and services can be projected as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and restrictive measures are lifted in the country.

Post-Quarantine Consumption Patterns

March 2020

Once the Central American economies begin to return to normal, as the restriction and quarantine measures that have been taken to prevent the spread of the covid-19 are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

For example, the demand for meals out of home will decrease by about 7% from the levels reported prior to the crisis.

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Pyramid Research

Pyramid is a global leader Market Research & Consulting firm, specialized in Communications, Media and Technology (CMT) as well as in Emerging Markets.
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