Political and Economic Continuity in Nicaragua

The vast majority of nicaraguans intend to vote for the re-election of the current President, Daniel Ortega, which would ensure the continuity of the current policies used to run the country.

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Al December 31st, 2015  


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Confirming what has been published by other pollsters, M & R Consultores notes that the results of its seventh national survey put the clear favorite to win the presidential election as Daniel Ortega and his wife Rosario Murillo, who according to this survey now have 66.3% of the vote. The nearest contender has only 8% of the vote, while the so-called hidden vote is 20.6%.

If the election results turns out to match these numbers, Ortega would preside over Nicaragua for a third consecutive term, following his victories in the elections of 2006 and 2011, and a controversial reform of the constitutional provisions that enable presidents to be reelected indefinitely. 

See Nicaragua: Indefinite Presidential Reelection

Ortega had already presided over Nicaragua between 1985 and 1990, when the imprint of his government was the implementation of Cuban style left wing policies. After his victory in 2006, the Ortega government maintained international policies akin to Castroism and Chavism, becoming a conspicuous member of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA).

Clic para interactuar con la gráficaClic para interactuar con la gráfica In contrast, its internal, and in particular economic, policies were characterized by dialogue with the productive sectors, and by pragmatism. As a result, in recent years Nicaragua, the poorest country in Central America, has achieved relatively high and stable rates of growth.

See also: The Pragmatism of the President of Nicaragua

See also: Nicaragua: A Law to Encourage Private Investment

Nicaragua is currently competing, with some advantages over other countries in the region, in attracting foreign direct investment. The likely reelection of Ortega, still overshadowed by undemocratic political procedures, would stay the course of the Nicaraguan economy, ensuring stability for investments in the country, at least in the short and medium term.

The graph shows the evolution of GDP and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nicaragua over the past 30 years.

More on this topic

Elections in Nicaragua Confirm Continuity

November 2016

According to Fitch Ratings the reelection of Daniel Ortega as president of Nicaragua means stability in the country's economic policies.


Stability and economic and political continuity is what Fitch Ratings envisages for Nicaragua after the outcome of the presidential elections last Sunday, in which President Daniel Ortega was declared the winner, with 70% of the vote, according to a report by the Supreme Electoral Council. 

Nicaraguan Government as Seen from Abroad  

January 2014

"Murillo and Ortega together are forging a level of control that political observers say holds echoes of the sort of family dynasty that the Sandinista Front once took up arms to topple."

"Dynasty," is how the U.S. Newspaper Kansas City describes the government of Daniel Ortega and in which it discusses the influential role played by his wife Rosario Murillo in every government decision.

No Surprises: Ortega Reelected President

November 2011

Despite several complaints of irregularities and the most voted-for opposition candidates refusing to recognize his victory, President Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua will serve a second consecutive term.

After scrutinizing 85% of the polls, Nicaragua’s Supreme Electoral Council announced that interim results indicated that the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSNL) and its candidate Daniel Ortega had garnered 62.56% of the total vote, while his closest follower, the Independent Liberal Party (PLI) and its candidate, liberal businessman Fabio Gadea, had only 30.87%.

Voting Intentions in Nicaragua: Ortega 56%

July 2011

With 56.5% of the voters intending to support him, according to a poll by M & R Consultants, President Daniel Ortega, is looking as the winner of the presidential election of November 6, 2011.

These numbers, which come from from a survey taken in June, would allow the current president, Daniel Ortega, to win the election in the first round and "would open the door for complete control of their political party in the National Assembly", reported Laprensa.com.ni.

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