Nicaragua: Consumption Outlook

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as the phases of the pandemic are overcome in the country, it is estimated that the demand for meals outside the home will have decreased by 13%.

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by CentralAmericaData's Trade Intelligence Unit, variations in demand by Nicaraguan households for different goods and services can be projected as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and restrictive measures are lifted in the country.

For this analysis, it is assumed that the quarantine and mobility restriction measures will be extended for two months.

For example, the demand for food in general will decrease by about 3% from the levels reported prior to the crisis. When the expected demand for fish, specifically fillet, is analyzed, it is estimated that once the quarantine period is over, households in Nicaragua will reduce their expenditures on this item by about 2%.

When commercial activity begins to normalize, it is estimated that demand for lotions and perfumes will contract by 4%, compared to pre-crisis sales levels in covid-19. In the case of body, face and facial creams, consumption will fall by about 3%.

In the case of the clothing market, demand for men's and women's jeans is expected to fall by about 3%.

The "Information System: Covid-19 and Business Outlook", is helping our clients understand and dimension the degree of impact that the crisis will have on the demand for goods and services of companies in all sectors, with details such as the financial strength of customers and suppliers of each economic activity, which allows to predict which of them could face more difficulties in the coming months.

Click here to request access to this report.

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When the local economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, demand for health insurance is estimated to fall by 7%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Salvadoran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Honduras: Forecast of New Consumption Levels

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When the local economy begins to return to the new normality, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that the demand for electricity by Honduran households will have decreased by 11%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Honduran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Panama: Outlook for Consumption

April 2020

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in Panamanian household demand for different goods and services as the most critical phases in the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Post-Quarantine Consumption Patterns

March 2020

Once the Central American economies begin to return to normal, as the restriction and quarantine measures that have been taken to prevent the spread of the covid-19 are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

For example, the demand for meals out of home will decrease by about 7% from the levels reported prior to the crisis.

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