According to the Central Bank, Costa Rica's economy could grow 3.2% this year, less than was initially expected, and the fiscal deficit could reach 7.2% of GDP.
Monday, July 23, 2018
In its revision of the Macroeconomic Program 2018-2019, the Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) foresees that this year's GDP growth will be 3.2%, below what was estimated in the Program presented at the beginning of the year, when the monetary authority projected growth of 3.6% at the end of the year.
In addition, the BCCR estimates that this year there will be lower dynamism in loans granted in local currency, a greater fiscal deficit and an inflation rate within the entity's target range.
From a statement issued by the BCCR:
The Central Bank of Costa Rica's (BCCR) decisionto announce the adoption of an inflation targeting monetary scheme on January 31st culminated the transition process begun in 2005. This formalized the policy strategy that the Bank has been following for several years and whose actions allowed inflation to be gradually reduced, going from double-digit values to levels close to those shown by our main trading partners.
It should be noted that, in a consecutive manner, inflation has been less than 4% in the last 41 months (using information as of June 2018), a behavior similar to that of the period between August 1964 and December 1967.
However, even when price stability contributes to sustained economic growth, it is not enough.An environment of sustainable public finances and an institutional framework that promotes improvements in the productivity of production factors and, consequently, in the competitiveness of the national economy, is also indispensable.
The institution is once again emphasizing more efficient public spending and making cuts before a fiscal adjustment comes into force, in a form that is "draconian and with emergency measures".
Making cuts and improving efficiency in public spending is once again the main recommendation of the International Monetary Fund.
The organization states that the country has advanced in the process of economic stabilization and has exceeded the quantitative targets set for December 2014, also meeting the benchmarks set for March 2015.
From a press release issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF):
Despite being reduced compared to 2013, the IMF insists that the fiscal deficit remains a thorn in its side for preventing the economy from reaching its full potential.
From a statement issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF):
January 30, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultation1 with Costa Rica.