Guatemala: Household Expenditure Forecast

Once the local economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that Guatemalan households will have reduced their demand for car insurance by 7%.

Thursday, April 30, 2020

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to forecast the variations in demand by Guatemalan households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

For this analysis, it is assumed that the quarantine and mobility restriction measures will be extended for two months.

The interactive report states that the demand for regular gasoline will decrease by nearly 43% from the levels reported prior to the crisis. When analyzing the expected demand for meals outside the home, it is estimated that after the quarantine period, households in Guatemala will reduce by about 14% their expenditures in this line.

When commercial activity begins to normalize in the new reality, it is estimated that the demand for electricity will contract by approximately 12%, compared to pre-crisis sales levels in covid-19.  In the case of the automotive market, demand for pickup vehicles is expected to fall by about 44%.

The "Information System: Covid-19 and Business Outlook", is helping our clients understand and dimension the degree of impact that the crisis will have on the demand for goods and services of companies in all sectors, with details such as the financial strength of customers and suppliers of each economic activity, which allows to forecast which of them could face more difficulties in the coming months.

Click here to request access to this report.



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El Salvador: Post-Confinement Consumption Level

April 2020

When the local economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, demand for health insurance is estimated to fall by 7%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Salvadoran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of the covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Honduras: Forecast of New Consumption Levels

April 2020

When the local economy begins to return to the new normality, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, it is estimated that the demand for electricity by Honduran households will have decreased by 11%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in demand by Honduran households for different goods and services as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

Nicaragua: Consumption Outlook

April 2020

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as the phases of the pandemic are overcome in the country, it is estimated that the demand for meals outside the home will have decreased by 13%.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by CentralAmericaData's Trade Intelligence Unit, variations in demand by Nicaraguan households for different goods and services can be projected as the most critical phases of the spread of covid-19 are overcome and restrictive measures are lifted in the country.

Panama: Outlook for Consumption

April 2020

Once the economy begins to return to normal, as isolation and mobility restrictions are relaxed, household consumption patterns will have changed significantly.

Using a demand/income sensitivity model developed by the Trade Intelligence Unit of CentralAmericaData, it is possible to project the variations in Panamanian household demand for different goods and services as the most critical phases in the spread of covid-19 are overcome and the measures restricting mobility in the country are lifted.

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