Public Finances: What is Expected in 2021After the Alvarado administration agreed to backtrack on the proposal to negotiate a $1.75 billion loan with the IMF, it is predicted that next year the government will depend on domestic debt to finance its expenditures.Thursday, October 8, 2020
In mid-September, and in the context of a severe economic crisis that had been brewing before the pandemic, the Executive presented the plan with which it intended to mitigate the fiscal impact of the Covid-19 crisis, a proposal to negotiate an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to obtain a $1.75 billion loan. Source: Nacion.com Reducing the Fiscal Deficit: A Great ChallengeDecember 2020 After the multi-sector dialogue in Costa Rica was concluded, the main risk qualifiers agree that because the agreements signed to reduce the deficit are not enough, the government should execute its fiscal policies in a timely manner. Public Finance with Reserved ForecastAugust 2020 In this regional context of economic crisis, falling fiscal revenues and increasing public debt, Costa Rica's debt level is expected to rise to 75% of GDP by 2021, and in the case of El Salvador, the indicator could exceed 85%. Fitch Downgrades Guatemala's Risk NoteApril 2020 Arguing that a lower economic growth and a higher fiscal deficit are expected due to the effects of the covid-19, the agency decided to modify from BB to BB- the country risk rating. Costa Rica: Ratings Agencies Insist on Fiscal AdjustmentApril 2015 Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's are once again warning of the need to generate more revenue and cut public spending in order to avoid "negative consequences for ratings."
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