Facing a serious and growing fiscal deficit, the Solís administration has presented the 2015 spending plan for the central government which is 19% higher than that of 2014.
Tuesday, September 2, 2014
Even though the fiscal deficit up to July is already located at 3% of GDP, the government has decided to increase the state budget for 2015 by 19%, which added to the 4% increase approved for public wages and 14% increase in the resources paid to state universities, threatens to push up interest rates and further complicate the economic scenario.
Economists polled by Nacion.com "... expect this growth will strangle loans to the private sector next year, the rating agency Moody's will remove the country's rating as investment grade, which is given to countries with less risk to invest in. In addition they also believe that the actions taken by the Government can not combat the large deficit. "The economist and former vice minister Edna Camacho added "... All of this shows that we should expect that the 2015 deficit will stay at a high level (above 6%) ... ".
The businessman Luis Mesalles noted that "... 'Efforts to improve collection are important (and necessary), but it does not seem to me that they will be able to raise enough to offset the increase in spending. '"
The Finance Minister Helio Fallas, explained that "... 'There is a large expenditure inflexibility; it is impossible to make a radical change. However, what we were able to do was to launch a series of programs, so that they are consistent with the priorities that the government has on the issue of poverty, infrastructure and agriculture.'"
At the end of the first quarter the financial deficit was 1.6% of GDP, below the 1.9% of GDP recorded in the same period in 2015.
From a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance:
At the end of the first quarter of the year, the fiscal figures showed a decline of close to ¢86,000 million in the primary deficit (revenue less noninterest expense) and close to ¢38,500 million in the financial deficit.
The interest paid by the government for debts incurred grew by 14% over last year, meaning that they went from representing 2.6% of GDP to 2.8% of GDP.
Although for the first time in four years total revenue grew more than total expenditures, this increase is still insufficient to cope with the growing fiscal deficit, which at the end of the year stood at 5.9% of production.
The new Solís administration plans to establish the Value Added Tax and demand proof of tax payment for procedures in public institutions and on application for bank loans.
The tax reform being prepared includes a bill to reform income tax. This is part of a project by the Ministry of Finance which includes 55 specific actions among which are changes in the area of income, reducing government spending and control of state borrowing.
The country is spending more and more in interest payments for the government's debt, which in 2013 rose to represent 2.6% of GDP.
In 2013 the interest paid by government debts rose by 29%, reaching 2.6 % of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). If the expectations of the Ministry of Finance are correct, the financial situation could become more complicate in 2014, as it is anticipated that this financial obligation would reach 2.9% of GDP.
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